Q and A: An ageing population and the birth rate

Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Is Australia’s population ageing partly because there are more women remaining childless, mothers having fewer children and overall fewer babies being born?

It is true that Australia’s population is ageing with the midpoint in our population – the median age having increased from 30 to 37 in the span of 3 decades. However this is largely due to increased longevity and not at all to do with declining births.

In fact Australia is in the midst of a baby boom with the numbers of births setting new records this decade- having exceeded 300,000 births per year, every year since 2008. This is almost twice as many births as Australia experienced in 1946- the year that saw the arrival of the first Baby Boomers. While the peak of Australia’s original baby boom occurred in 1961 with a fertility rate of 3.5 (babies per 1,000 women), which is almost twice the current fertility rate of 1.9, total annual births currently exceed the 1961 record of 240,000 births by more than 60,000.

So the current baby boom is much larger than this original 16 year baby boom (1946-1961) and the total Australian births in the 16 years from 2008 will produce almost 5 million babies – around 1.5 million more than the post-war boom.

Not only are there more babies than ever, but there are more women who are mothers as well. There are more than 6.5 million Australian women aged over 18 who have given birth which is almost 70% of them. It is the case that women are having children later in life with the median age of mothers having increased from 25.5 four decades ago to 30.8 today. However the fertility rates have increased not decreased in the last decade, up from 1.7 in the early 2000’s to 1.9 today. And as for the proportion of women in Australia who will have no children in their lifetime – it remains at 1 in 4 which is a figure unchanged over a generation. Therefore of the women who will have children, the average number of children is actually 2.5.

So Australian mothers are more numerous than ever, collectively parenting more children than ever and on average raising between 2 and 3 of this largest generation in Australia’s history.

More information can be found in Mark McCrindle’s book The ABC of XYZ: Understanding The Global Generations.

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


sydney property market culture Australian Dream Royals "know the times" weather urban living index marrickville personal growth showreel challenge unaffordable experience care support research pack young people internet responsive millennials Macquarie University do people still change their surname after marriage? social analyst speaker mccrindle in the media Netflix tattoos emerging generations micro financial future public holiday casual Black Friday in Australia surnames research services NBRS Architecture cash baby boomers renter of the future non profit ACF 2016 hobart Gen Z Expert Generation X high density apartments seasons earnings middle class leadership workshop education education sector report maiden innovation ultimo easy rider hornsby screenagers property entertainment home owner suburbs Jura Australia dare to dream market research seasons greetings property development sports demographic transformations in depth interviews cooking world consumer trends of 2016 residents skills 2017 baby names australia report forum relevant 1994 christmas 2017 water researcher resource menai future proofing households etiquette Melbourne Sydney Lifestyle Study goal staff employment award winner village leadersip Christmas season sustainable couple JOMO participants work from home Australian schools Australians click students cars contiki SA insight GPO Charlotte vegetarian bureau paying to work daily telegraph The Daily Edition demographics repayments US daily commute gen z workshop low density celebration System's Architect impact urban networking women state CPI trend tuesday student baby boom average aussie australian environment Mark McCrindle in the media vegemite logan children mccrinlde digital Word Up sunburnt country career selfie high density Black Friday Sales car data visualisation global retail workplace states global generations population weekly earnings jobs millenials alpha wolloomooloo criminal who is generation z deloitte fresh educhat house wages lalor park mccrindle presentations Jura Coffee investing dreaming housing affordability parenting suburban living curiosity workplace culture debate spirituality Australian Census environmental scanning cancelling event men christian huffington post Christmas Stats Lower Hunter future Tuesday Trends Performance Sentiment Index baby name trends purpose #censusfail house price rise gender belief schools Christmas research changing face of sydney rise of local wealth and income breakfast urban taskforce younger generations townhouses consumerism ACF2017 Financial Planning Association 2016 census research report hello fresh ashley mckenzie new office wedding retirement Hornsby Shire Council census fail wealth learn living January 26th wealth and income distribution anzac The ABC of XYZ child care Christmas day weather McCrindle Keynote Speakers aged care puzzle winter McCrindle Speaker cultural diveristy urban living collaboration community engagement leader society forecast world youth day young australians intern charities research on coffee ACT geomapping global generaion 2016 census results mythbusting entrepreneurs of today Australian community trends communities Social Trend optus father's day media activity global generation motivate education future report IT Specialists office opening school satisfaction social change Sydney Hills Business Chamber infographic wall optimistic gig cultural diversity micro apartments ageing population social impact population map teaching socialising learning styles entrepreneurial engagement graphs event SMART australian communities trends report housing growth the changing face of Australian Trends the australian dream 24,000,000 Work place royal baby baby names future-proof baby name poker master ipswich case study Aussie Australia street home ownership grave decision data analyst REIV National Conference perth conference presentation apartments happiness suburb generation follow apartment visual church urban development TDE sydney event thrive social trends outsourcing post rationalism organisational culture potts point hills shire the great screenage buildings Business analysis divorce rate trend Australia Day 2017 trades Crime Rates local teach Births ideas ashley fell DESTEL generations Population Clock clothing New Zealand Skilling sydneycity teachers New South Wales land of the middle class Queensland: QLD royal influence meals relational South Australia wealth distribution narcissism James Ward monarchy mateship work educated identity small business cost choice workers Sydney’s south west data rule keeper cancelling plans research visualisation teacher government resilience 2013 maiden names priorities storytelling Andrew Duffin waverton norwest Australian Communities Trends politics professional speaker social research sector wide study Queensland Bathburst nfp life SMSF budget domestic business performance teleworking interactive tuesday demographer publication going out community event recap list TED talk Kiwi volunteering data omnibus year 12 group session national crime rates culturally diverse commuters futurist local communities australian community trends report rent education research average Australian social enquiry 2015 HR offenders Christmas data Mark McCrindle insights commuting statistics growing population goals donate 2014 food bank trends of 2017 speajer winter blues 23 million sydneysiders growth of sydney program neutral bay litter debt NSW local community 40 million panel public transport school Engineering Manager collaborative Deaths holiday events Gen Y financial fears chairty public speaking authenticity prince george mythbusters keynote Northern Beaches Christian School bondi REIV Conference NFP event Black Friday schools students housing trends twentyseventeen online shopping not for profit speakers pack Real Estate mccrindle research work mates tea VET innovative pharmacies ABS Christmas day social researcher healthy future city Maxim Accounting language social life quote volunteer FPA holidays conference Financial Planning Association of Australia hopes wage social lives media communicate online travel social media census results FOMO capital city dessert 2012 Lower Hunter Region Territory global financial crisis census data growth happy holidays trends analyst royal family religion surname names jobs of the future Wodonga research data cica NT future proof optus my business awards Valentine’s Day finance communication baby name predictions blaxland home staying in newspaper Sydney business brands australian communities forum typical australian screenage office work-life increasing densification society trends income organisations Aussies demographic builders employers not-for-profit divorce Geoff Brailey emerging technologies eliane miles medicine fears trends video group forecasting training royal qualitative research transport cold financial independence stay home Research Director Res Vis greatness Western Australia baby brand poor office space What is food insecurity? plans google for education sun property price 10 years school students professional services faux-ciliser charity mother's day unemployment professional analysis sector marriages conference speaker proactive presentation McCrindle Speakers WA story DIY sydney hills tableau personalities renting cost of living christmas conferences Northern Territory shopping centre community financial planning define nativity scene ACF17 toys HSC the average aussie sydney metro study parents brand experience Duchess of Cambridge population growth money commute live the dream Channel 7 sydney speaker Australian communities affordability social youth easter national wealth family NBRS news global Generation Y Research Executive census marriage Willowdale Merry Christmas census 2016 area social analysis supply and demand demography Financial Planning Week millionth employmee meetings investment families Myth public speaker christianity rental stress australian social research future of shopping communications Hunter Valley property market generation alpha shopper's pick infographic national private wealth education future darwin pharmacy Gen X 2016 mortgage average sydneysider the hills gen alpha bus Hills Shire Council Wagga Wagga Australia Day sydneysider CBD Christmas presents Scouts 1968 Christmas lunch focus groups mining boom digital economy mover and shaker NEETs coffee dream know the times future of work TED economy World Water Day Cobbitty-Leppington ageing future of education VET sector learning wealth inequality technology woolworths university degree kate middleton house prices mccrindle tea financial aged care high density living long weekend February 16 visualisation faith tv ethnography energy media commentary population milestone food insecurity Australian Bureau of Statistics cartodb EFF results 1980 Kirsten Brewer Do It Yourself research entrepreneur Retail survey eliane PSI Tuesday Trend thought leadership sector wide manly internship stats customer travelling volunteering Assistant Store Manager new york times workforce social shifts spend the lucky country sunny days wellbeing ACF victoria socialites award not for profit research emerging trends friends crime pyrmont house price product real ease of travel year 7 google gig economy Australian demographics slideshare lifestyle careers grandparents focus group coffee lovers 2020 marketing English social issues brisbane economic australians staying home more balance social researchers Love mobile sydney market christmas trees Northern Beaches faux-cilise dreams Vocational education rain hills generation Z speakers investor Christchurch Australian Families TEDx Speaker shbc rich in the media social commentary leadership aussie culture safe summer gold coast train ferry Australian Home Sydney keynote speaker cloudy days moderators guide VIC Education Future Forum Channel Seven SRE capital cities baby names report generational trends Canberra demographic trends rising house prices infographics megatrends McCridle social commentator Real Estate Institute of Victoria household crows nest snapshot facts faux-cilising earn change professional presenters university shifts TEDx engage shopping australia professional development Mount Annan-Currant Hill volunteers Northern beaches Event tertiary education ACT Report Elderslie-Harrington park Caregiver hunger keynote speaker annual income employmer acf15 housing market owning a home salary mentor affordable Wellington donation 24 million learner equip tips moreton bay princess charlotte food the hills shire australian real estate Christmas in Australia New Zeland business index Australian Population high school sentiments Tasmania TAS media release 1975 internships Adelaide friendship financial dreams Sydney population earning cancel plans overcast giving survey design youth unemployment housing