Q and A: An ageing population and the birth rate

Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Is Australia’s population ageing partly because there are more women remaining childless, mothers having fewer children and overall fewer babies being born?

It is true that Australia’s population is ageing with the midpoint in our population – the median age having increased from 30 to 37 in the span of 3 decades. However this is largely due to increased longevity and not at all to do with declining births.

In fact Australia is in the midst of a baby boom with the numbers of births setting new records this decade- having exceeded 300,000 births per year, every year since 2008. This is almost twice as many births as Australia experienced in 1946- the year that saw the arrival of the first Baby Boomers. While the peak of Australia’s original baby boom occurred in 1961 with a fertility rate of 3.5 (babies per 1,000 women), which is almost twice the current fertility rate of 1.9, total annual births currently exceed the 1961 record of 240,000 births by more than 60,000.

So the current baby boom is much larger than this original 16 year baby boom (1946-1961) and the total Australian births in the 16 years from 2008 will produce almost 5 million babies – around 1.5 million more than the post-war boom.

Not only are there more babies than ever, but there are more women who are mothers as well. There are more than 6.5 million Australian women aged over 18 who have given birth which is almost 70% of them. It is the case that women are having children later in life with the median age of mothers having increased from 25.5 four decades ago to 30.8 today. However the fertility rates have increased not decreased in the last decade, up from 1.7 in the early 2000’s to 1.9 today. And as for the proportion of women in Australia who will have no children in their lifetime – it remains at 1 in 4 which is a figure unchanged over a generation. Therefore of the women who will have children, the average number of children is actually 2.5.

So Australian mothers are more numerous than ever, collectively parenting more children than ever and on average raising between 2 and 3 of this largest generation in Australia’s history.

More information can be found in Mark McCrindle’s book The ABC of XYZ: Understanding The Global Generations.


Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare


Last 150 Articles


Tags

choice workers communication generation alpha mining boom huffington post data motivate award housing trends slideshare sports education annual income entrepreneur giving Christchurch dreaming dream perth wolloomooloo conference presentation consumer communities Bathburst eliane miles English mccrindle tea baby name trends education sector office space focus groups rise of local Financial Planning Week Queensland: QLD 1994 emerging trends Love Financial Planning Association royal baby professional panel australians staying home more contiki Australian demographics survey design cloudy days 23 million young people australian communities trends report commuters urban taskforce online shopping sydney metro stay home property Jura Coffee sentiments professional development crime salary weather entrepreneurs of today interactive australian income energy Generation X Australia street fears research data earning System's Architect women future of education leader 10 years relevant hobart World Water Day urban living index ethnography online hello fresh national private wealth 2016 ACF social research mentor faux-cilise social learner DIY education research students New Zeland Willowdale celebration digital eliane deloitte trends of 2016 demographics youth Canberra demographic transformations apartments public speaker speakers futurist rent poker master Myth Sydney keynote speaker news Gen X global financial crisis victoria baby names report youth unemployment social commentator Andrew Duffin gold coast social enquiry ashley fell charity micro parenting ACF2017 wealth sydneycity grave decision volunteering Skilling sustainable mccrindle in the media toys real alpha thought leadership research services medicine education future investing emerging generations define paying to work donation equip story christian NEETs blaxland debt Northern beaches Event unemployment Hornsby Shire Council Mount Annan-Currant Hill research economy urban living ACF17 average aussie Real Estate pharmacies infographics earnings TED engagement Christmas lunch forum forecasting mortgage NBRS Architecture future proofing financial planning royal family clothing 2013 Sydney keynote speaker media activity fresh prince george Population Clock average sydneysider princess charlotte New Zealand careers potts point hunger politics hornsby Australian schools shopping learning styles visual tv VET work mates rising house prices church father's day the changing face of Channel 7 FPA Caregiver sun royal australian real estate australian social research suburbs Word Up the australian dream aussie culture Wellington housing affordability employmee university research on coffee social shifts year 12 supply and demand ease of travel volunteers geomapping vegetarian entrepreneurial personal growth business performance investor TDE program ferry Elderslie-Harrington park spend baby name predictions living litter case study NFP event charities South Australia not-for-profit Queensland nfp challenge sydneysider world storytelling local demographic cancelling plans wages census fail innovation TEDx work-life social researchers seasons balance school chairty plans January 26th mobile forecast social commentary Education Future Forum google Financial Planning Association of Australia faux-ciliser thrive Research Director demographer new york times Australian Trends leadership workshop domestic Northern Beaches Christian School leadership HSC young australians workplace winter blues internship TED talk 40 million trends Deaths generations quote 1968 demography water spirituality child care marrickville christmas apartment Vocational education children culturally diverse Australian Population social researcher CPI cultural diversity entertainment donate owning a home baby boom Real Estate Institute of Victoria high density living bondi shifts Australian Dream easter Christmas season NT research pack Geoff Brailey food goal analysis investment future of work responsive home ownership vegemite Adelaide tertiary education omnibus Tuesday Trend conferences publication sector Australian Communities Trends post rationalism public speaking Scouts #censusfail population milestone career trend Sydney’s south west land of the middle class census results generation Z friends community house household australia McCrindle Speakers census data house prices financial property market demographic trends going out educhat men holiday etiquette optus housing growth coffee greatness professional services Christmas presents lalor park proactive change state click The Daily Edition teach trends of 2017 NBRS REIV Conference holidays identity media release small business daily commute Australia Day product waverton selfie baby research report rule keeper schools students Gen Y Australian Home local communities financial independence What is food insecurity? high density apartments award winner teacher Wodonga university degree meals travelling ACT authenticity non profit capital city baby names happiness criminal affordable CBD Australian Families priorities EFF education future report Mark McCrindle insights environmental scanning baby name manly offenders 2015 Australian community trends christianity speaker volunteer faux-cilising community engagement relational aged care puzzle sydney speaker TAS rental stress unaffordable insight retirement pyrmont twentyseventeen social media buildings gen alpha experience hills shire world youth day high school VET sector transport mccrindle research wealth and income wellbeing brand experience personalities social issues technology workplace culture wedding narcissism parents government food bank global generations cost of living data visualisation megatrends February 16 IT Specialists speajer housing social analysis coffee lovers socialising tuesday trades employmer tea house price rise the lucky country brand changing face of sydney gig economy Northern Beaches suburban living "know the times" market research australian communities forum presentations 2012 presentation newspaper Cobbitty-Leppington work Australian communities schools skills consumerism organisational culture resource media rich millenials poor engage workshop future neutral bay outsourcing business index names cultural diveristy moderators guide divorce rate events teachers participants baby names australia report social change Macquarie University kate middleton pharmacy 2016 census baby boomers low density jobs marketing meetings property price office opening housing market VIC language 1980 Charlotte shbc summer ABS norwest FOMO townhouses 2014 trends analyst money darwin average Australian family social lives new office easy rider divorce Assistant Store Manager cica curiosity infographic cooking growing population group 24,000,000 wealth inequality JOMO showreel gen z SA national wealth list New South Wales live the dream dessert aged care in the media organisations faith facts financial dreams James Ward ACF 2016 tips safe SRE infographic wall shopper's pick micro apartments know the times emerging technologies media commentary marriage research visualisation rain future-proof travel census 2016 The ABC of XYZ high density public holiday budget increasing densification royal influence Western Australia suburb social impact mythbusting report sydney event qualitative research Hills Shire Council mother's day Generation Y Territory economic intern life focus group REIV National Conference the hills shire families the hills internships learning event Merry Christmas optus my business awards dare to dream community event residents ACT Report generational trends home owner optimistic purpose environment 24 million religion affordability survey social trends Do It Yourself mccrindle socialites gig goals australian community trends report study data analyst DESTEL friendship speakers pack village visualisation Jura Australia wealth distribution Kiwi capital cities millionth internet weekly earnings Sydney Hills Business Chamber culture home Tasmania mover and shaker households Births finance conference gender city marriages Valentine’s Day Channel Seven results hopes debate office lifestyle stats customer video employment keynote group session Melbourne breakfast ageing Engineering Manager society trends cartodb statistics Work place belief bureau Royals logan staff researcher teleworking mythbusters educated sunburnt country social life food insecurity Research Executive Res Vis cancelling event volunteering data hills jobs of the future generation Social Trend conference speaker local community Tuesday Trends professional presenters cancel plans moreton bay NSW screenage brands tattoos long weekend train trend tuesday menai population map states sector wide study area networking sector wide sunny days Kirsten Brewer PSI financial fears ideas brisbane grandparents staying in resilience McCridle Aussie healthy future dreams Netflix commute builders car renting winter not for profit research society collaborative population growth student the great screenage acf15 tableau 2016 census results school students repayments SMSF snapshot communications sydney hills 2017 ashley mckenzie growth training innovative future of shopping typical australian Wagga Wagga Australia Day 2017 employers Australian Census census anzac teaching Northern Territory google for education earn recap sydneysiders bus couple SMART wealth and income distribution crows nest cars daily telegraph shopping centre cold monarchy year 7 global school satisfaction cost care support GPO house price overcast cash learn Australian Bureau of Statistics 2020 professional speaker Duchess of Cambridge Crime Rates business woolworths mateship not for profit wage communicate Australians 1975 urban Aussies renter of the future ipswich middle class future proof millennials ageing population financial future collaboration population casual in depth interviews workforce WA the average aussie ultimo impact graphs follow national crime rates

Archive