A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


personal growth world youth day national crime rates public holiday energy ipswich men schools students PSI Australian communities eliane online shopping population map future-proof local communities Australia Day greatness media activity capital cities ease of travel Work place 2014 survey design religion tea wedding Channel 7 school aged care households vegemite SA Kirsten Brewer Australian community trends social faith investing 40 million generation generations slideshare demographic trends brands Wellington insight bus group session skills TED talk mortgage market research social researchers cancelling plans collaborative society language thrive living 2013 outsourcing Australians moderators guide car social research divorce rate poker master local hobart sydney hills change sydneycity mateship consumerism infographic wall program Australia Day 2017 clothing wage average Australian media release Netflix safe employment easy rider research services land of the middle class Hills Shire Council sydneysider sector long weekend cooking charity mccrindle in the media jobs teach etiquette Australian Trends Gen X business index budget technology tv HSC cancelling event mccrindle research DESTEL VET resource Northern beaches Event case study residents low density work sports household future fresh toys divorce cloudy days brand unemployment happiness ultimo ethnography conference presentation study New South Wales capital city communities national wealth global generations pyrmont friendship economic supply and demand high density faux-cilising visualisation Australian Bureau of Statistics 24 million Research Executive optus my business awards Love curiosity future proof spirituality bureau monarchy 10 years fears sydney speaker 2016 eliane miles optimistic community NT generation Z tertiary education shifts Melbourne proactive award winner population milestone showreel researcher rise of local financial fears mythbusters Charlotte Do It Yourself environment English publication digital careers annual income demography hills shire statistics workplace culture professional speaker renting report crime Christchurch Crime Rates Northern Beaches events demographer Education Future Forum gender townhouses balance staying in results World Water Day housing trends Population Clock REIV National Conference family infographics small business Australian Home Australian Population Mark McCrindle not-for-profit area consumer debt Sydney Hills Business Chamber sector wide organisational culture paying to work millionth professional office manly Myth ACF 2016 financial independence Andrew Duffin speakers pack Australian Dream anzac volunteering data tattoos Western Australia sun research pack youth Hornsby Shire Council 2012 ACF debate news baby boomers define dream The ABC of XYZ perth baby boom list professional development young people youth unemployment wages Royals resilience teacher workplace acf15 Vocational education cultural diversity financial future Deaths aged care puzzle global financial crisis dare to dream Generation X hills australian social research mccrindle generational trends repayments real gen alpha wealth distribution forum rain blaxland System's Architect stay home Canberra office space futurist learning learning styles holidays insights community engagement thought leadership challenge NBRS Architecture millenials selfie personalities South Australia narcissism January 26th google for education public speaker presentation socialites breakfast engagement trends of 2016 millennials education sector the hills shire networking Financial Planning Association of Australia Christmas lunch social enquiry Merry Christmas experience trend tuesday property price travelling census 2016 goal renter of the future suburb parents conferences winter school satisfaction Tuesday Trend baby names report food SMART sydney event Bathburst cold social trends customer Financial Planning Week participants rental stress new york times socialising shopper's pick NSW going out transport keynote Australian Communities Trends baby name trends earn house marriage work-life home owner 1968 tableau university degree australian communities trends report population wealth and income distribution economy students social researcher high density living Kiwi baby name Social Trend ageing population buildings group ferry hopes norwest professional presenters dessert home ownership mythbusting speaker investor James Ward teachers builders rich future of shopping "know the times" mining boom visual property workshop stats research bondi qualitative research research report income royal baby menai father's day church career house price media Northern Beaches Christian School grave decision Aussies commuters population growth financial dreams sentiments national private wealth life leadership workshop nfp royal GPO deloitte Tasmania New Zealand gold coast housing growth rule keeper earning CPI training city data analyst office opening social impact darwin Real Estate government forecasting education future report kate middleton NFP event average sydneysider entrepreneurs of today SRE 1994 collaboration growth global Wodonga high density apartments social commentary school students world entrepreneur offenders finance politics increasing densification urban living 23 million changing face of sydney Channel Seven rising house prices educhat TDE shopping centre census fail demographic transformations Skilling gen z learn CBD trends forecast travel mother's day suburban living dreaming investment cost overcast earnings ashley mckenzie contiki NEETs priorities Engineering Manager sunburnt country twentyseventeen sydney metro optus trades VIC innovation social analysis Aussie WA future proofing easter Northern Territory Tuesday Trends analysis state purpose woolworths FOMO focus group Australian Census demographic equip suburbs census results friends graphs Caregiver Christmas season daily telegraph apartment faux-cilise google university social media alpha education future entrepreneurial staff click micro apartments baby name predictions tips conference Assistant Store Manager volunteer wealth potts point internships sydneysiders housing Adelaide the great screenage 2020 TED Wagga Wagga trends analyst Australia street 2016 census results research data educated apartments teleworking wellbeing cartodb trends of 2017 urban living index cash in depth interviews Geoff Brailey society trends emerging trends urban internship royal family employers child care sector wide study cars chairty DIY Valentine’s Day growing population ACF2017 cost of living public speaking young australians lalor park VET sector culturally diverse data visualisation rent weather urban taskforce mccrindle tea cancel plans names entertainment victoria social commentator omnibus social life australian communities forum Scouts infographic volunteers Sydney australia aussie culture motivate australian REIV Conference Queensland #censusfail affordable IT Specialists commute communication lifestyle snapshot Australian schools authenticity ACF17 middle class year 7 marketing Territory the changing face of post rationalism in the media poor Sydney keynote speaker affordability unaffordable princess charlotte responsive Australian Families children medicine keynote speaker impact housing affordability screenage emerging generations innovative seasons women education property market Duchess of Cambridge TAS criminal train Res Vis home professional services pharmacies micro meals mentor brand experience hello fresh australians staying home more product Queensland: QLD winter blues research visualisation Australian demographics house price rise daily commute follow housing market domestic Research Director social change shopping workforce emerging technologies moreton bay goals crows nest future of work year 12 families know the times The Daily Edition retirement social lives marriages baby names australia report February 16 Christmas presents learner interactive baby video communicate ideas christianity 1975 social shifts not for profit village celebration Word Up Gen Y sustainable storytelling jobs of the future organisations newspaper healthy future hornsby community event summer ageing recap online water belief focus groups media commentary ashley fell the average aussie litter panel spend the hills business Financial Planning Association vegetarian JOMO schools conference speaker census business performance McCrindle Speakers event megatrends communications non profit the australian dream culture prince george 2016 census identity parenting 2015 average aussie FPA ABS coffee weekly earnings facts cica wolloomooloo brisbane SMSF environmental scanning Generation Y engage demographics salary marrickville 2017 faux-ciliser shbc christian royal influence NBRS sunny days owning a home leadership presentations waverton local community 24,000,000 house prices relevant couple story New Zeland mobile states data pharmacy TEDx plans financial neutral bay geomapping future of education EFF education research ACT mover and shaker teaching relational intern survey speakers wealth and income trend quote meetings christmas typical australian tuesday holiday logan internet 1980 Births new office social issues baby names Real Estate Institute of Victoria award census data student Macquarie University cultural diveristy generation alpha grandparents huffington post work mates leader high school