A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


follow women Tuesday Trend workplace culture 23 million geomapping visual TDE Wellington christian Australians TAS future of shopping entrepreneurs of today woolworths sector wide cancelling event Hills Shire Council moderators guide winter blues 1994 rental stress insights charity Royals teaching 2016 census results affordable generational trends impact career list Christmas season authenticity World Water Day optimistic demographic trends micro employers urban living holidays GPO trends of 2017 Western Australia royal baby year 12 entrepreneur award world youth day VET families baby FOMO Adelaide aussie culture keynote speaker city mother's day sector spirituality social commentary school public speaker generation leadership commute social enquiry NT Crime Rates New Zeland baby name predictions 2012 Tuesday Trends gender rich the average aussie FPA ACF 2016 skills change Work place Charlotte apartment faux-cilise office know the times Do It Yourself changing face of sydney baby boomers contiki local christianity collaborative renter of the future cultural diversity kate middleton Wodonga hobart fresh quote not for profit sunburnt country environment optus my business awards 24,000,000 social life education future report goals paying to work communications media thrive generations stats lalor park teleworking bondi aged care puzzle mccrindle mover and shaker government learning styles organisational culture victoria VET sector graphs speakers emerging generations educhat Andrew Duffin cost of living wealth and income distribution careers resilience toys customer households future of education Real Estate Institute of Victoria mccrindle research future population growth global financial crisis results survey design community proactive teach monarchy story average Australian belief suburb meals shopping men faux-ciliser Australian Trends gen z home ownership wolloomooloo shopping centre mccrindle tea study outsourcing alpha etiquette futurist research report unemployment crime marriages typical australian criminal year 7 slideshare supply and demand weather youth unemployment life media activity wedding vegemite Tasmania sun unaffordable personal growth conference speaker Australian demographics Caregiver Vocational education jobs of the future the changing face of cica Bathburst house price darwin Love high density survey parenting researcher education research Australian schools celebration facts sector wide study social change dreaming ageing australian social research global generations presentations teacher property market easter Aussies experience Research Executive annual income focus groups ipswich income identity entrepreneurial property digital children cartodb forecasting social shifts internships shopper's pick gold coast office opening research local communities sydneysiders perth census 2016 megatrends Gen X conference presentation future of work urban relational Mark McCrindle networking wealth distribution participants CPI demographic transformations schools work mates Word Up sydneysider SA grave decision research pack menai royal influence baby names twentyseventeen volunteers hills shire online shopping safe SRE budget millennials school students leader social media spend not-for-profit new york times baby name innovative Res Vis Queensland: QLD New Zealand data analyst Scouts motivate keynote long weekend work-life rule keeper apartments community event census results communicate names leadership workshop earn conferences gen alpha socialites System's Architect sydneycity employment australian communities trends report workplace low density weekly earnings housing growth child care marketing Kiwi travel Australia Day meetings SMART NBRS poor engage earnings presentation national crime rates population mateship IT Specialists trends of 2016 suburban living Sydney Hills Business Chamber program business performance breakfast cancel plans Duchess of Cambridge food social tableau clothing McCrindle Speakers trends training "know the times" sydney speaker capital city VIC 2017 Melbourne New South Wales states growing population February 16 overcast newspaper future proofing dare to dream hornsby potts point wellbeing #censusfail Education Future Forum learner news forecast university degree ashley mckenzie engagement learn royal conference Canberra townhouses hopes ACT research visualisation 24 million sunny days Australian Census Deaths millenials brands education builders Northern Territory professional development waverton social commentator the australian dream schools students culturally diverse deloitte qualitative research census aged care bureau friendship Population Clock baby names report offenders collaboration 1968 coffee Generation X religion baby names australia report fears Christchurch ACF financial independence education future couple faith curiosity Assistant Store Manager statistics sydney hills transport housing environmental scanning brisbane generation Z divorce NEETs forum faux-cilising future proof insight suburbs energy award winner family product trades christmas divorce rate focus group snapshot medicine case study panel trend educated Australian Families communication media commentary daily commute South Australia university ageing population 1980 research data salary EFF public holiday interactive Australian communities tertiary education ferry click high school house analysis local community car friends neutral bay ethnography winter brand professional storytelling events litter grandparents staying in village healthy future Aussie youth repayments social researchers jobs sustainable renting australian communities forum learning Myth school satisfaction entertainment Kirsten Brewer household priorities purpose shifts demographic dream in the media language wealth and income tuesday office space Sydney keynote speaker mythbusters seasons Skilling Northern beaches Event non profit Australian Bureau of Statistics capital cities hello fresh 40 million Wagga Wagga brand experience generation alpha national wealth demographics growth Valentine’s Day omnibus greatness workshop report debate new office event consumerism consumer group mobile Gen Y marriage property price resource ease of travel Merry Christmas professional speaker high density apartments princess charlotte organisations Netflix data owning a home increasing densification eliane Channel 7 trends analyst infographic vegetarian mortgage January 26th selfie tv video population milestone buildings affordability financial dreams business narcissism financial fears living Queensland emerging technologies media release Financial Planning Association education sector cooking Northern Beaches Christian School in depth interviews financial future home owner cost pharmacies train NSW population map 2014 micro apartments social impact global Northern Beaches area intern Real Estate optus debt crows nest housing trends social lives investment rent 2015 small business baby boom CBD NBRS Architecture google for education future-proof research services 2020 census fail lifestyle demography PSI innovation society trends DIY post rationalism Births marrickville rise of local rising house prices high density living sentiments responsive group session ashley fell wage define public speaking state Australian Home urban taskforce the hills shire emerging trends blaxland Christmas presents sports daily telegraph Australian Population mythbusting Australian Dream easy rider average sydneysider financial australia anzac housing market 10 years JOMO The Daily Edition housing affordability home 2013 socialising Engineering Manager Geoff Brailey huffington post summer residents economy personalities SMSF social researcher technology social trends average aussie Sydney trend tuesday REIV Conference travelling earning retirement bus Macquarie University social research James Ward Australian Communities Trends wages acf15 pyrmont nfp house prices rain dessert pharmacy relevant shbc happiness communities norwest poker master HSC baby name trends 2016 investing Australia Day 2017 teachers Channel Seven parents DESTEL world thought leadership social analysis market research professional services national private wealth tips ABS real cold ultimo REIV National Conference land of the middle class recap Financial Planning Association of Australia millionth work plans Territory urban living index social issues infographic wall eliane miles water logan business index commuters goal economic Financial Planning Week community engagement mentor young people publication 1975 prince george mccrindle in the media young australians cash middle class stay home data visualisation students moreton bay manly ideas cancelling plans demographer sydney metro online English church tattoos internship student Hornsby Shire Council sydney event internet visualisation tea challenge investor finance the hills cars mining boom culture holiday domestic wealth The ABC of XYZ 2016 census house price rise google Christmas lunch father's day royal family WA going out balance society workforce Social Trend politics Generation Y staff australians staying home more equip cloudy days