A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


urban taskforce pharmacies economic 40 million mentor social change dare to dream 2017 happiness builders CPI millenials medicine narcissism Jura Coffee presentation ACT Report schools students crows nest Res Vis house prices workshop goals society trends resource generation Z parenting engagement local community Caregiver choice workers survey gig economy eliane Australian communities Sydney GPO insight christian seasons news investment experience mccrindle tea business wealth distribution environmental scanning unaffordable shopper's pick trends analyst Northern Beaches Christian School Christmas season population map manly results tattoos SRE demographic transformations employmer learning styles wealth inequality Australia street Aussies car professional services data visualisation families impact Vocational education outsourcing education sector townhouses presentations domestic dreams house price mccrindle research infographic wall Australia Day megatrends 1975 Education Future Forum baby newspaper Financial Planning Week business index father's day australian the great screenage motivate social analysis 24,000,000 sentiments meetings careers skills Charlotte entertainment royal family mateship internships 1994 woolworths school students demography keynote speaker ageing population religion deloitte teleworking employers baby boomers Australian Home hobart list teach Australian schools capital city gen z baby names leadership award litter educated responsive financial future New South Wales 2016 census results emerging generations jobs census 2016 Queensland prince george food twentyseventeen plans South Australia trend tuesday Australian Population infographics learn work supply and demand village weather social enquiry Australian Trends baby name predictions IT Specialists WA online education research innovative Sydney Hills Business Chamber faux-cilising learner optimistic shbc daily commute affordable story education future wealth and income distribution monarchy states residents celebration dreaming office hills shire grave decision spirituality goal names sydneysider trades the hills shire 2020 aussie culture menai cooking Tasmania social issues area aged care puzzle the average aussie sydney speaker greatness home ownership mccrindle tips financial dreams World Water Day charity challenge Gen X interactive suburbs change Australian Families Wellington rise of local global tea mobile cost of living Generation Y social shifts money meals potts point Territory high density apartments Adelaide high school church cars 2016 city rich Mark McCrindle Bathburst volunteering work mates Deaths kate middleton quote train contiki System's Architect 2014 Tuesday Trend analysis Australian Bureau of Statistics January 26th local Wodonga chairty leader media commentary cultural diveristy optus my business awards debt winter Scouts study media conference presentation internship coffee Andrew Duffin Population Clock mythbusting australian communities trends report proactive brands TED the australian dream emerging trends resilience suburb apartment data VET sector video census fail infographic TEDx 2015 food bank survey design christianity earnings ease of travel Channel Seven men know the times teachers faux-ciliser PSI paying to work rental stress small business healthy future entrepreneurs of today forecast ideas Northern beaches Event communicate housing affordability millennials Tuesday Trends stats entrepreneur New Zeland population growth university degree local communities brand experience demographer gold coast professional development sydneysiders conference speaker cancelling event youth cold house tuesday urban living overcast sydney event ashley mckenzie workforce relational care support non profit Skilling commuters Engineering Manager friendship christmas life Northern Territory Willowdale not for profit research holiday storytelling Births micro grandparents princess charlotte identity breakfast selfie land of the middle class social impact wellbeing personal growth leadership workshop sunburnt country group session cancel plans keynote follow buildings technology waverton Christmas lunch winter blues fears school VIC Real Estate Institute of Victoria census results logan Australian Communities Trends focus groups omnibus socialites energy house price rise financial fears Western Australia Love career The Daily Edition australian community trends report futurist conference going out parents statistics jobs of the future dream cartodb average sydneysider Social Trend google post rationalism shopping centre "know the times" ABS poker master wedding debate ACF 2016 Kiwi australian social research vegetarian sector wide Australian demographics micro apartments mccrindle in the media workplace thought leadership NFP event award winner Research Director Crime Rates CBD government mythbusters What is food insecurity? TDE English university Australian Census financial independence couple cash socialising growth Canberra tertiary education online shopping nfp Elderslie-Harrington park australians staying home more Duchess of Cambridge sun Kirsten Brewer language Royals home owner donation royal influence stay home politics forum Merry Christmas community event social trends bureau sustainable NEETs pyrmont live the dream housing growth dessert students volunteers baby boom investor faith rising house prices norwest forecasting Financial Planning Association of Australia student water demographic year 12 housing market property balance divorce media activity panel bus Macquarie University recap school satisfaction Hornsby Shire Council communication learning gen alpha increasing densification spend etiquette national private wealth education Financial Planning Association child care cultural diversity NBRS Architecture organisational culture census professional speaker generational trends social commentary Cobbitty-Leppington SMSF brisbane HSC not for profit long weekend poor engage housing trends renting optus trends trends of 2016 shopping hills DIY customer research on coffee equip staff future-proof Hills Shire Council living financial planning sydney metro millionth social life wolloomooloo home social blaxland NSW Christchurch Sydney’s south west new office investing ACF17 not-for-profit children marrickville friends snapshot trends of 2017 teacher the changing face of JOMO travel neutral bay social researcher donate publication staying in public speaking social researchers sports environment speakers pack curiosity ultimo food insecurity average aussie The ABC of XYZ public holiday charities growing population demographics aged care SA education future report royal research thrive anzac future of work bondi Christmas presents crime future of education australian communities forum faux-cilise 10 years 1980 easter 2016 census baby name real ACF2017 research data in the media finance speaker generation alpha Wagga Wagga McCrindle Speakers lalor park networking future proof marriage 2012 research pack the hills households young australians budget Real Estate consumerism high density community engagement sector wide study wage collaboration employment repayments earning emerging technologies personalities communications TED talk communities baby names report easy rider social media social commentator entrepreneurial baby names australia report mover and shaker fresh huffington post Gen Y culturally diverse product research report qualitative research brand Australia Day 2017 teaching SMART sydneycity Valentine’s Day hornsby speajer rent average Australian moderators guide income casual TAS global generations internet property market Australian community trends trend visual wages acf15 organisations Aussie REIV National Conference world youth day safe DESTEL society cloudy days facts middle class gig offenders focus group 24 million suburban living urban #censusfail Melbourne data analyst Jura Australia hello fresh graphs Australian Dream global financial crisis report gender ACT high density living Research Executive rain generations annual income salary Netflix travelling future proofing apartments year 7 work-life sunny days giving youth unemployment financial affordability NT low density program educhat events Australians 2013 hunger coffee lovers family visualisation participants alpha in depth interviews screenage employmee owning a home volunteering data future of shopping REIV Conference public speaker cancelling plans define ageing state cica typical australian conferences slideshare mother's day transport demographic trends priorities business performance mining boom speakers hopes professional presenters Channel 7 mortgage 1968 tv unemployment renter of the future collaborative professional Do It Yourself criminal click market research household women victoria national wealth pharmacy training wealth and income population sydney hills ferry belief FOMO commute marriages office opening Myth perth VET James Ward clothing young people national crime rates summer retirement tableau eliane miles geomapping shifts ashley fell community economy toys australian real estate future generation property price world baby name trends daily telegraph moreton bay Generation X capital cities research services consumer relevant FPA lifestyle volunteer census data darwin Mount Annan-Currant Hill Northern Beaches wealth EFF Sydney keynote speaker google for education intern researcher innovation McCridle digital ACF ethnography australia divorce rate urban living index the lucky country showreel group event 23 million weekly earnings ipswich case study culture Queensland: QLD February 16 population milestone earn holidays insights NBRS workplace culture royal baby New Zealand social lives social research Assistant Store Manager rule keeper authenticity new york times vegemite research visualisation marketing Word Up Work place cost housing purpose Geoff Brailey schools sector office space media release changing face of sydney