A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


safe business performance learning chairty mining boom future proofing purpose social friends neutral bay faux-ciliser wage criminal Do It Yourself DIY clothing personal growth quote the great screenage infographic social shifts Andrew Duffin mentor car World Water Day Real Estate tea cancelling event small business program FPA office space 1980 English mover and shaker South Australia volunteer students ACT employmer earning prince george sports challenge men Northern Beaches Christian School panel Australian Home entrepreneur 24,000,000 fears screenage households house price changing face of sydney household aged care futurist Australia Day marketing low density news Australian Trends gold coast casual buildings meals interactive sydney metro brand experience learn cold life Australia street public speaker brisbane McCrindle Speakers demography eliane video Hunter Valley baby boom 2014 society innovation thrive study emerging generations presentation urban taskforce Mount Annan-Currant Hill sunburnt country results sunny days social trends schools students nfp australian tv professional presenters volunteering mythbusters newspaper February 16 infographics cancel plans NEETs resource student faith Western Australia travelling mother's day TDE gen alpha insights GPO investor social analyst demographics Kiwi Aussie SMART teachers screenagers couple Australian communities focus groups holidays click financial planning public holiday Generation X work-life victoria increasing densification Australian demographics Gen X census 2016 emerging technologies generation religion Gen Z Expert church Willowdale fresh wealth inequality rain SMSF summer holiday australians staying home more manly affordability property development optus my business awards slideshare demographer australian social research Gen Y in the media crows nest balance capital cities budget REIV National Conference community engagement spirituality cost of living economy unaffordable snapshot future product energy social enquiry sydney market potts point sustainable media commentary renter of the future plans teacher choice workers report Canberra professional speaker food hills society trends school social commentary shifts jobs conferences learner Population Clock NT TED talk community cultural diveristy mccrinlde language workplace culture Black Friday census baby names australia report tableau socialites housing market australian real estate internships public transport wealth VIC Macquarie University Research Director forecast the changing face of residents menai census results tattoos average Australian ethnography going out ashley mckenzie Cobbitty-Leppington financial fears children 2012 entrepreneurial aussie culture national crime rates healthy future Engineering Manager Mark McCrindle in the media dreams innovative Wagga Wagga Australian Population workshop career organisations Wellington future of education village national wealth perth research Lower Hunter demographic communication trends analyst annual income James Ward PSI VET sector McCrindle Speaker DESTEL ease of travel renting population post rationalism royal medicine poor high density population milestone paying to work in depth interviews Australians coffee forecasting business index giving Adelaide care support owning a home not-for-profit pyrmont communications child care Bathburst digital economy TED social issues educhat ACF 2016 townhouses wedding marriages NBRS Australia Day 2017 speakers ferry rule keeper Financial Planning Association of Australia apartment Christmas lunch sydney hills families online leadership workshop Word Up online shopping new york times social impact ipswich Australian Census impact ultimo urban brand donate the hills shire faux-cilise monarchy Australian schools NFP event resilience generations gender earn leadership trends housing affordability cultural diversity identity Hornsby Shire Council Northern Territory Retail Queensland Crime Rates housing growth global megatrends 2016 census results average aussie parents australian community trends report Research Executive rising house prices mobile gig economy mccrindle research business father's day recap education future mccrindle in the media bondi cooking 24 million Christchurch know the times states not for profit research education sector millennials presentations collaboration world youth day Hills Shire Council google for education authenticity housing cloudy days Sydney keynote speaker royal influence pharmacy Duchess of Cambridge community event New South Wales youth unemployment digital office opening economic culturally diverse cartodb training investment seasons Performance Sentiment Index Jura Coffee lifestyle world greatness 2020 charities leader group christian generation Z organisational culture research on coffee Tuesday Trend divorce Jura Australia learning styles Tasmania easter baby name trends urban living index average sydneysider Real Estate Institute of Victoria work mates The Daily Edition wealth and income speaker urban living case study salary twentyseventeen visualisation shopping Geoff Brailey names facts population map winter trend tuesday area social analysis youth waverton future of work live the dream commuting celebration VET government young australians emerging trends What is food insecurity? house price rise daily telegraph CPI Merry Christmas 2016 The ABC of XYZ professional services marriage year 7 the average aussie focus group outsourcing baby name wages showreel grave decision global retail shopper's pick Christmas presents New Zeland JOMO priorities royal family gen z new office wealth and income distribution cancelling plans sector wide rich christmas omnibus baby change wellbeing millenials city social researchers rental stress environmental scanning moderators guide growth of sydney survey design income who is generation z royal baby financial future Assistant Store Manager keynote home ownership networking trends of 2016 home owner logan Australian Communities Trends gig workforce media activity data visualisation trades demographic trends System's Architect generation alpha happiness professional development rent social life census data Births property dream suburbs careers lalor park survey Financial Planning Association housing trends baby name predictions 2016 census hobart micro apartments suburban living optus research services state australian communities forum long weekend capital city socialising darwin Sydney market research norwest ACF2017 optimistic mccrindle land of the middle class hello fresh non profit train Northern Beaches goal conference presentation Australian community trends property market personalities stay home sydneysider internship engagement office women research pack internet population growth relational equip overcast social researcher volunteering data high school investing princess charlotte commuters Christmas season generational trends HSC dessert family Myth consumer selfie aged care puzzle IT Specialists cica Northern beaches Event google future-proof social lives social research work from home sector wide study TEDx Speaker research report Queensland: QLD NSW storytelling weather woolworths TEDx Wodonga future proof australian communities trends report debt Valentine’s Day the lucky country SA acf15 Skilling communicate typical australian commute Business analysis event high density apartments Melbourne pharmacies NBRS Architecture entertainment water "know the times" home ACF faux-cilising Love ageing employers friendship schools suburb teleworking travel Royals volunteers motivate food bank events financial Black Friday Sales research visualisation sydneycity contiki younger generations ashley fell EFF debate hopes university brands unemployment employment public speaking Work place growth huffington post researcher Mark McCrindle wealth distribution Aussies geomapping staff narcissism social media teaching research data census fail TAS Res Vis follow FOMO spend real baby names story property price statistics data grandparents ACF17 marrickville easy rider entrepreneurs of today wolloomooloo etiquette tertiary education Maxim Accounting blaxland money Tuesday Trends Charlotte Australian Dream employmee mortgage global financial crisis speakers pack 2017 23 million transport baby names report Scouts school satisfaction winter blues engage customer collaborative workplace award winner australia #censusfail national private wealth alpha media intern sydney speaker financial independence donation teach McCridle experience trend WA social change sun Territory publication year 12 2013 poker master domestic conference speaker stats Caregiver the australian dream litter urban development affordable culture bureau data analyst Australian Bureau of Statistics middle class participants trends of 2017 anzac repayments cash cost CBD education future report the hills charity speajer not for profit growing population young people politics financial dreams skills rise of local demographic transformations 1994 Education Future Forum food insecurity REIV Conference Kirsten Brewer kate middleton ideas graphs high density living shbc weekly earnings sector living goals micro proactive Netflix mccrindle tea retirement jobs of the future millionth January 26th Deaths keynote speaker forum global generations group session christianity sydney property market educated professional award tips school students 40 million ACT Report Sydney Hills Business Chamber Elderslie-Harrington park eliane miles deloitte define vegemite 2015 baby boomers work education dreaming finance bus ageing population thought leadership builders Sydney Lifestyle Study parenting media release 10 years 1968 local communities insight offenders apartments SRE list curiosity shopping centre Vocational education ABS analysis supply and demand Sydney’s south west Financial Planning Week communities Australian Families hornsby university degree crime technology hunger toys Lower Hunter Region consumerism daily commute sentiments Channel Seven environment vegetarian US New Zealand social commentator house Sydney population responsive local community sydney event moreton bay coffee lovers staying in 1975 belief McCrindle Keynote Speakers house prices mateship local infographic wall breakfast tuesday conference meetings divorce rate Channel 7 mythbusting cars qualitative research Black Friday in Australia sydneysiders Generation Y Social Trend dare to dream future of shopping relevant education research hills shire visual earnings