Census Update - In the media

Thursday, April 13, 2017

The Australian Census has been conducted every 5 years since 1911, and is the biggest democratic activity in Australia. While the election last year counted 14 million votes, the 2016 Census includes every household, age group, resident and visitor – all 24 million of us.

Here’s everything you need to know about the preliminary Census results, painting a picture of our changing nation.

WHO IS THE TYPICAL AUSSIE?

The typical Australian is a 38 year-old Gen X woman, born in 1979, who can expect to live past the age of 85. She is married with two children and lives in one of Australia’s capital city (like 3 in 5 Australians), which is worth $825,980 and which she owns with a mortgage. She has $427,847 equity in their home, which is the bulk of her wealth. She works full-time and gets to work by car, along with 69% of all commuters.

HOW IS AUSTRALIA CHANGING?

We are ageing

The median age of Australians has increased from 37 to 38 (from the 2011 to the 2016 Census). Queensland has shown a strong leap in ageing (from 36 to 38), as has the Northern Territory (from a median age of 31 in 2011 to 34 in 2016).

We are culturally diverse

Three states (NSW, VIC, and WA) now feature their ‘typical’ resident as a person who has at least one parent born overseas. In NSW, China is now the top country of birth for residents born overseas and in VIC the top country for residents born overseas is India.

Owning a home outright is not as common anymore

The typical person across all of the states and territories now no longer owns a home outright, but with a mortgage. Only NSW and TAS feature the typical person who owns a home outright, and in the NT, the typical person is renting their home.

McCrindle In the media

Mark McCrindle on The Daily Edition

Eliane Miles on SBS News

Mark McCrindle on Seven News

McCrindle In the media





Supply and demand; Australia as an ageing nation

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

DEMAND: AUSTRALIA AS AN AGEING NATION

A CLEAR AGEING TRAJECTORY

Australia is experiencing a baby boom, with births exceeding 300,000 a year. 30 years ago, the over 65s made up just 11% of our population (one in nine persons). Today the over 65s make up 15% of our population (one in seven). Forecasts project that this cohort will make up 18% in 2027 (one in six). By 2047 one in five Australians (20%) will be aged over 65.

AGEING SOCIETY

Our median age is also increasing. Three decades ago the median age of an Australian was 31.3. Today it is 37.4 and in 2047 it is projected to be just under 40.

85+ POPULATION

The over 85s, where there is an even greater need for aged care services, are growing at a faster rate than the over 65s. In 1987 there were 133,448 Australians aged over 85. Today there are four times as many, and in 2047 there will 14 times as many.

INCREASED LONGEVITY

Not only are there more older people in our nation, but Australians are living longer than ever before. Life expectancy at birth in 1987 was 76.3, whereas today it is 81 for a male and 85 for a female. In 2047, it is projected to 89.9.

HEALTH ADVANCEMENTS ARE INCREASING LONGEVITY

The primary enabler of this increased longevity gain has been the health system rather than individual behaviour. Life expectancy increases will continue because of improved medical technologies, public health infrastructure and better public health measures. New and improved medical interventions will also contribute, as will the improved survivability rates of major illnesses and cancers.

A decade ago, dementia and Alzheimer’s disease were the 6th largest causes of death in Australia. Today they are the 3rd leading causes of death with the number of deaths having more than doubled to 9,864. Over the same period of time, deaths due to the first and second causes of death (heart disease and brain disease) have been decreasing. If today’s current trend continues, by 2021 dementia and Alzheimer’s disease will be the leading cause of death in Australia.

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH OF CENTENARIANS WILL KEEP THE QUEEN BUSY

In 1952, the year that Queen Elizabeth II became sovereign, 40 letters of congratulations would need to have been written to Australians turning 100. This year, 2,925 Australians will turn 100 and in 10 years 5,401 will turn 100. In 30 years the number of congratulatory letters written to Australians turning 100 will increase to 25,938 in the year 2047.

SUPPLY: AUSTRALIA AS AN AGEING NATION

THE CHALLENGE OF SUPPLY

Not only is there an increasing demand on the services provided by the aged care sector with the growing number of over 85s, there is also a workforce supply challenge.

RATIO OF WORKERS TO RETIREES DECLINING

The ageing population will place greater demands for productivity on the labour force. In 1975 for every person of retirement age there were 7.1 people in the working age population. By 2015 there were just 4.5 people of working age for every individual of retirement age, and this is projected to decline to just 2.7 people of working age for every individual at retirement age by 2055.

IMPENDING RETIREMENTS

Because of the high median age of an employee in the aged care sector, half of the aged care workforce will be of retirement age in 15 years. There are 350,000 workers in the aged care sector (estimated in 2012), so this equates to an average of 11,667 retirements per year for the next 15 years. This averages to 972 farewell lunches per month!

If we are to keep the current ratio of aged care workers to people aged over 85 in our nation, we need to add 129,945 workers in the next 10 years. This equates to recruiting 1,083 new workers per month, in addition to replacing the 972 retiring staff per month.

That’s a total recruitment goal of 2,055 each month – adding nearly 25,000 individuals to Australia’s aged care workforce each year.

GET IN TOUCH

To find out more about McCrindle's expertise in the aged care industry, or how we can communicate these insights to your team, please get in touch.

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare


Last 150 Articles


Tags

2013 ethnography church engage outsourcing dare to dream happiness faux-cilising plans wolloomooloo wages earnings generational trends curiosity woolworths FPA Real Estate Institute of Victoria tuesday dream responsive panel social media education sector interactive community program eliane infographic wall Gen X aussie culture 10 years career in the media 1968 mccrindle tea Australian Communities Trends ferry #censusfail home ownership trend property Territory follow 1994 social commentator conferences innovative etiquette Hornsby Shire Council Engineering Manager internet hornsby winter spend young people Social Trend Wagga Wagga forecast Aussies royal waverton teach The ABC of XYZ train ACT youth unemployment trends social trends insight eliane miles social researchers victoria high school wealth the australian dream child care social pharmacies cost of living faux-ciliser school satisfaction Population Clock Gen Y thought leadership New South Wales survey local communities Canberra baby name trends gold coast financial future land of the middle class millennials demographic transformations investor work society marrickville visual world youth day emerging technologies ACF generation alpha internship millionth collaboration year 7 criminal emerging trends aged care puzzle lifestyle FOMO social change publication teaching housing affordability conference presentation Queensland: QLD 2017 data visualisation TDE report increasing densification gen alpha population growth click proactive christmas summer royal influence public speaking global toys names teachers TAS equip sunburnt country suburb Channel 7 social shifts water NSW friends 1980 jobs Wellington ideas GPO suburban living professional services Christchurch financial fears fresh media winter blues house price rise PSI renting sydney hills newspaper professional social lives social commentary personalities hills shire world financial independence Northern Territory medicine Aussie urban taskforce australia renter of the future nfp education demographic know the times learning housing growth researcher sports priorities manly dessert Tasmania retirement data analyst geomapping baby boomers brands mccrindle research leader generation future proof 2016 census Tuesday Trend Australian Dream economy infographic house research services define mother's day families demographer communications NT clothing kate middleton statistics futurist youth low density social research relational royal baby tea Christmas season cancelling plans SA marriage 2020 English national wealth pharmacy workplace demographic trends students System's Architect digital average aussie recap challenge not-for-profit online acf15 logan January 26th workplace culture easy rider generation Z sydneycity hopes Res Vis New Zealand cold ashley fell Duchess of Cambridge growing population income meetings entrepreneurial stay home leadership workshop IT Specialists prince george market research offenders culturally diverse changing face of sydney wellbeing omnibus dreaming aged care Northern Beaches Australian schools capital cities volunteers cost darwin future village sydneysiders housing post rationalism crows nest Word Up teacher social researcher cancel plans HSC baby boom storytelling generations Australian communities Sydney keynote speaker alpha Australians blaxland Australian Trends city sector media activity new office hobart couple unaffordable safe the average aussie coffee 24,000,000 university wedding life rise of local millenials children 2015 engagement potts point buildings housing trends population long weekend education research mateship hello fresh townhouses Australia Day 1975 social impact cartodb year 12 salary shifts megatrends earn commuters ACF 2016 cars education future report property market urban student EFF gender high density apartments business index typical australian Australia Day 2017 conference culture christianity supply and demand wage DESTEL group Kiwi Scouts Royals neutral bay Tuesday Trends mccrindle in the media online shopping rent area baby name predictions mccrindle schools students McCrindle Speakers annual income gen z Western Australia social analysis parenting intern brand experience Generation X house prices leadership australians staying home more future of work lalor park case study ease of travel ipswich mobile office opening educated poker master tertiary education Northern beaches Event marriages new york times entertainment ABS non profit wealth and income distribution education future REIV Conference investment debt jobs of the future mentor home mining boom princess charlotte bus work mates daily telegraph fears forecasting local insights shopping ultimo cash professional development entrepreneurs of today staying in workshop Education Future Forum moreton bay sunny days VIC resource stats graphs holidays Valentine’s Day research visualisation social enquiry growth contiki ageing population weekly earnings population milestone royal family balance divorce Myth training communicate video meals government networking learn easter New Zeland keynote celebration business World Water Day apartment future-proof repayments travel religion CBD events paying to work tv rental stress australian communities trends report Love 23 million consumerism Crime Rates huffington post capital city deloitte finance organisational culture learner mortgage wealth distribution optus trends analyst baby identity healthy future educhat sentiments food weather australian social research presentation unemployment optus my business awards 2012 award parents Caregiver mover and shaker real women presentations authenticity brand staff South Australia NEETs 2014 consumer sydney speaker workforce investing Merry Christmas speakers socialising baby name focus group future proofing 40 million pyrmont media commentary Australian Bureau of Statistics the changing face of national private wealth monarchy slideshare family public holiday sector wide study residents sydney event Financial Planning Week norwest relevant sustainable participants school 2016 budget vegemite not for profit trends of 2017 The Daily Edition wealth and income work-life Charlotte bureau twentyseventeen suburbs analysis the hills shire Real Estate urban living index resilience census fail list google for education keynote speaker Wodonga Netflix conference speaker sydney metro results charity urban living goals property price office space housing market debate financial dreams university degree professional speaker state google communication Births friendship social issues mythbusters greatness public speaker 2016 census results office going out car motivate affordability teleworking living moderators guide owning a home environment focus groups marketing Australian Census overcast Mark McCrindle census results 24 million change commute menai Bathburst cancelling event tattoos financial Assistant Store Manager product communities WA REIV National Conference Australian Home middle class community engagement innovation transport Kirsten Brewer trend tuesday collaborative in depth interviews JOMO economic men entrepreneur society trends shopper's pick anzac cooking careers survey design earning facts research high density Australian demographics emerging generations demographics Research Executive father's day poor future of education high density living Australian Families ashley mckenzie selfie story national crime rates language internships forum vegetarian rule keeper school students christian sector wide tips sun technology goal group session employers event the hills learning styles global generations census 2016 builders DIY Northern Beaches Christian School global financial crisis award winner mythbusting community event daily commute organisations February 16 Do It Yourself study Christmas lunch "know the times" narcissism tableau rising house prices socialites domestic holiday Adelaide Queensland Financial Planning Association customer social life cultural diversity snapshot Financial Planning Association of Australia small business schools Geoff Brailey travelling trends of 2016 research data households experience home owner energy house price cloudy days brisbane divorce rate environmental scanning thrive Generation Y australian communities forum young australians faux-cilise household bondi employment news visualisation optimistic census affordable ageing Channel Seven grandparents baby names population map shbc Christmas presents data crime rich states rain seasons personal growth media release SMSF qualitative research Deaths Melbourne quote politics Sydney litter skills research pack perth

Archive