Census Update - In the media

Thursday, April 13, 2017

The Australian Census has been conducted every 5 years since 1911, and is the biggest democratic activity in Australia. While the election last year counted 14 million votes, the 2016 Census includes every household, age group, resident and visitor – all 24 million of us.

Here’s everything you need to know about the preliminary Census results, painting a picture of our changing nation.


The typical Australian is a 38 year-old Gen X woman, born in 1979, who can expect to live past the age of 85. She is married with two children and lives in one of Australia’s capital city (like 3 in 5 Australians), which is worth $825,980 and which she owns with a mortgage. She has $427,847 equity in their home, which is the bulk of her wealth. She works full-time and gets to work by car, along with 69% of all commuters.


We are ageing

The median age of Australians has increased from 37 to 38 (from the 2011 to the 2016 Census). Queensland has shown a strong leap in ageing (from 36 to 38), as has the Northern Territory (from a median age of 31 in 2011 to 34 in 2016).

We are culturally diverse

Three states (NSW, VIC, and WA) now feature their ‘typical’ resident as a person who has at least one parent born overseas. In NSW, China is now the top country of birth for residents born overseas and in VIC the top country for residents born overseas is India.

Owning a home outright is not as common anymore

The typical person across all of the states and territories now no longer owns a home outright, but with a mortgage. Only NSW and TAS feature the typical person who owns a home outright, and in the NT, the typical person is renting their home.

McCrindle In the media

Mark McCrindle on The Daily Edition

Eliane Miles on SBS News

Mark McCrindle on Seven News

McCrindle In the media

Supply and demand; Australia as an ageing nation

Tuesday, March 21, 2017



Australia is experiencing a baby boom, with births exceeding 300,000 a year. 30 years ago, the over 65s made up just 11% of our population (one in nine persons). Today the over 65s make up 15% of our population (one in seven). Forecasts project that this cohort will make up 18% in 2027 (one in six). By 2047 one in five Australians (20%) will be aged over 65.


Our median age is also increasing. Three decades ago the median age of an Australian was 31.3. Today it is 37.4 and in 2047 it is projected to be just under 40.


The over 85s, where there is an even greater need for aged care services, are growing at a faster rate than the over 65s. In 1987 there were 133,448 Australians aged over 85. Today there are four times as many, and in 2047 there will 14 times as many.


Not only are there more older people in our nation, but Australians are living longer than ever before. Life expectancy at birth in 1987 was 76.3, whereas today it is 81 for a male and 85 for a female. In 2047, it is projected to 89.9.


The primary enabler of this increased longevity gain has been the health system rather than individual behaviour. Life expectancy increases will continue because of improved medical technologies, public health infrastructure and better public health measures. New and improved medical interventions will also contribute, as will the improved survivability rates of major illnesses and cancers.

A decade ago, dementia and Alzheimer’s disease were the 6th largest causes of death in Australia. Today they are the 3rd leading causes of death with the number of deaths having more than doubled to 9,864. Over the same period of time, deaths due to the first and second causes of death (heart disease and brain disease) have been decreasing. If today’s current trend continues, by 2021 dementia and Alzheimer’s disease will be the leading cause of death in Australia.


In 1952, the year that Queen Elizabeth II became sovereign, 40 letters of congratulations would need to have been written to Australians turning 100. This year, 2,925 Australians will turn 100 and in 10 years 5,401 will turn 100. In 30 years the number of congratulatory letters written to Australians turning 100 will increase to 25,938 in the year 2047.



Not only is there an increasing demand on the services provided by the aged care sector with the growing number of over 85s, there is also a workforce supply challenge.


The ageing population will place greater demands for productivity on the labour force. In 1975 for every person of retirement age there were 7.1 people in the working age population. By 2015 there were just 4.5 people of working age for every individual of retirement age, and this is projected to decline to just 2.7 people of working age for every individual at retirement age by 2055.


Because of the high median age of an employee in the aged care sector, half of the aged care workforce will be of retirement age in 15 years. There are 350,000 workers in the aged care sector (estimated in 2012), so this equates to an average of 11,667 retirements per year for the next 15 years. This averages to 972 farewell lunches per month!

If we are to keep the current ratio of aged care workers to people aged over 85 in our nation, we need to add 129,945 workers in the next 10 years. This equates to recruiting 1,083 new workers per month, in addition to replacing the 972 retiring staff per month.

That’s a total recruitment goal of 2,055 each month – adding nearly 25,000 individuals to Australia’s aged care workforce each year.


To find out more about McCrindle's expertise in the aged care industry, or how we can communicate these insights to your team, please get in touch.

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


forecast google for education future of work media coffee families James Ward financial fears australia faux-ciliser safe suburbs rich NSW litter innovative hopes brisbane budget Love Northern beaches Event winter blues marketing social trends royal family Netflix wealth and income distribution baby names report group session high density apartments communicate pyrmont Christchurch ethnography conferences world youth day mortgage Australia Day social issues wellbeing daily commute February 16 urban taskforce 2012 workshop professional university degree growth goals mccrindle in depth interviews weather ACF investor trend tuesday Hornsby Shire Council SA trend mateship Duchess of Cambridge organisations parenting conference speaker New Zeland builders jobs of the future dream crime World Water Day new york times lifestyle faith environmental scanning offenders 2013 research data research services belief summer marrickville children divorce rate living IT Specialists generation alpha menai Population Clock australians staying home more innovation VET baby names australia report criminal ACT baby name predictions trends analyst news bureau snapshot research report wolloomooloo experience census results NEETs sydneycity income leader trades high density living ageing population rise of local Aussie collaborative religion future micro apartments tableau bondi media commentary home 23 million data HSC sector property market infographic owning a home social commentary forum average Australian hello fresh wealth and income Kirsten Brewer vegetarian group video Australian Dream shopping centre Res Vis Australian schools 1968 in the media teachers Gen X Social Trend volunteers publication spirituality easter culturally diverse Geoff Brailey VET sector households Australian Bureau of Statistics workplace culture Channel Seven NBRS Architecture millionth mccrindle research youth unemployment the changing face of The Daily Edition 2016 census results program results personal growth baby friendship consumerism rental stress insights work media activity financial dreams optus my business awards thrive sydney metro local community consumer hills shire Australian communities apartment poor cost wage 2016 census business index education future child care Australian Home Charlotte prince george parents long weekend woolworths demographic state Kiwi life norwest data visualisation unemployment NBRS Canberra Northern Beaches Christian School teacher tea Australia Day 2017 tuesday rule keeper ipswich The ABC of XYZ System's Architect public speaker high school finance food real city FPA names sun Financial Planning Association Financial Planning Week emerging technologies McCrindle Speakers Generation Y celebration youth paying to work mccrindle tea cancelling event social media entrepreneurs of today divorce australian communities trends report DESTEL dessert recap research pack Merry Christmas cartodb education research curiosity unaffordable follow environment culture buildings presentation research visualisation mentor mover and shaker middle class emerging trends SRE affordable sector wide suburb geomapping narcissism 2015 social research sydneysiders going out christian Skilling grandparents students low density trends of 2017 aussie culture baby names huffington post Real Estate Institute of Victoria events megatrends gold coast Northern Territory brand experience national wealth Tuesday Trend waverton slideshare community affordability cars Work place father's day year 12 vegemite PSI Births resource VIC changing face of sydney community event commute christianity sydney event ashley fell fresh young people mythbusting #censusfail panel tips townhouses CPI Do It Yourself Generation X non profit career the hills shire church English global social researchers Valentine’s Day earnings presentations JOMO Aussies generations property 1975 1980 Christmas presents Assistant Store Manager omnibus collaboration fears dreaming social analysis speakers internet optimistic holiday educhat Melbourne Scouts responsive mccrindle in the media TDE not for profit sports know the times professional services hobart research training social commentator post rationalism emerging generations mobile financial independence victoria social life nfp thought leadership typical australian 24,000,000 CBD winter focus groups demographics staying in report education Channel 7 shopping royal influence cancelling plans technology new office goal Engineering Manager social change conference presentation skills repayments stay home employers generation Z business performance population world breakfast Territory property price entrepreneur Queensland shopper's pick work-life house price rise "know the times" society trends housing affordability tattoos 2020 marriage men future proof medicine school students insight DIY socialites brand global generations product plans market research blaxland Macquarie University cost of living GPO impact capital cities alpha logan princess charlotte 10 years renting identity hornsby school global financial crisis aged care puzzle royal baby suburban living South Australia Myth authenticity darwin ultimo demography bus women cultural diversity acf15 office space the average aussie ABS school satisfaction future proofing monarchy quote eliane miles schools students relational Hills Shire Council TAS debt the australian dream digital future of education population map retirement urban residents sustainable resilience Bathburst water work mates happiness leadership workshop young australians friends housing market Christmas lunch workforce educated online generational trends toys earning investment survey design economic couple national crime rates Caregiver engage engagement population milestone demographic trends gen z royal marriages poker master customer Real Estate rent workplace visual social ferry equip study australian communities forum internship 24 million Sydney employment grave decision REIV Conference entertainment kate middleton mythbusters education future report daily telegraph organisational culture staff not-for-profit small business futurist debate aged care Adelaide high density cold entrepreneurial government education sector facts Financial Planning Association of Australia family wedding census 2016 define meals housing meetings Sydney Hills Business Chamber village Vocational education cica Word Up australian social research urban living Royals Christmas season wealth average sydneysider learner leadership average aussie annual income Wellington learn brands perth outsourcing communities visualisation Australian Population twentyseventeen story Deaths forecasting learning online shopping keynote speaker christmas teaching public holiday Wodonga household pharmacies baby name trends states networking Crime Rates relevant socialising commuters Australian Census train sydneysider New South Wales renter of the future shifts sector wide study sydney speaker micro teleworking rain interactive millenials careers Australian Trends google moreton bay tertiary education Andrew Duffin ashley mckenzie case study NT personalities etiquette award Australian demographics deloitte analysis cash land of the middle class learning styles local 2017 cooking ageing balance Australian Communities Trends generation optus housing growth ACF 2016 financial future home owner trends economy greatness contiki house price census participants WA New Zealand salary focus group Wagga Wagga newspaper local communities shbc weekly earnings qualitative research census fail sentiments clothing Research Executive spend teach eliane faux-cilise challenge financial growing population transport jobs sydney hills dare to dream professional development schools pharmacy priorities easy rider purpose crows nest social lives manly social shifts researcher social enquiry charity keynote demographic transformations Sydney keynote speaker neutral bay Queensland: QLD Australians cloudy days Tasmania car tv media release Northern Beaches area moderators guide Gen Y gen alpha ideas baby name earn wages house prices politics FOMO potts point wealth distribution social researcher home ownership EFF rising house prices infographic wall mother's day motivate sunny days communication increasing densification conference future-proof lalor park 40 million society population growth January 26th future of shopping social impact office Education Future Forum urban living index holidays click investing gender internships 2016 SMART faux-cilising overcast demographer 2014 the hills travel supply and demand survey SMSF business public speaking apartments energy event Western Australia REIV National Conference ease of travel year 7 cancel plans graphs baby boomers student baby boom change university proactive Mark McCrindle anzac data analyst sunburnt country language award winner Australian Families healthy future 1994 stats mining boom millennials communications housing trends domestic selfie national private wealth office opening capital city trends of 2016 Tuesday Trends seasons travelling list intern community engagement storytelling statistics house professional speaker