A Census snapshot of the Hills LGA (NSW)

Thursday, July 13, 2017

The results from the national Census give a fascinating snapshot of life in The Hills LGA. The boundaries of The Hills local government area have changed only slightly since the 2011 Census allowing interesting comparisons of how we have changed over half a decade.

Changing households

Homes in The Hills contain slightly more people now (3.2 on average compared to 3.1 in 2011), and two in three have four or more bedrooms compared to just one in three nationally. However they are less likely to be a detached house than 5 years ago (82.4% compared to 84.1% in 2011) and less likely to be owned outright (34.5%, down from 36% in 2011). The costs of housing have been outstripping earnings with rents up 25% since 2011 but average household incomes only up 16%.

Culturally diverse

When compared to the national findings, local households are 35% more likely to be couple families with children, 34% more likely to have at least two cars, and 33% more likely to have at least one parent born overseas. Interestingly more Hills residents report their ancestry as English than Australian, even though only 3.3% of locals were born in England. In fact more people in the Hills were born in China (5.1%) and India (3.6%) than England, with South Korea and South Africa rounding out the top 5 for those born overseas. One in three residents speaks a language other than English at home, with that now most likely to be Mandarin, which has just overtaken Cantonese, showing the more recent migration patterns from mainland China.

Religious affiliations

While locals most commonly identify their religion as Christianity (64.8%), it has declined, while Hinduism has seen the biggest increase, from 3.1% in 2011 to 4.5% now. Of the 650 suburbs in Sydney, Castle Hill has the most number of Anglicans at 5,748 which places it 4th largest nationally for Anglicans.

Age of residents 

The Shire continues to have a younger profile than the rest of Australia with more people under 20 and less people over 65 than the national average. However while 2011 showed a deficit of 30-34 year olds locally compared to the state and national average, this latest data shows a surplus of 35-39 year olds indicating that while those in their twenties and early thirties do leave the Hills, it seems as if they also boomerang on back.

The Fading Australian Dream

Thursday, March 23, 2017

Housing affordability is currently a key issue of discussion in Australia and while there are a number of factors at play, the main price driver is that demand for houses is exceeding supply. Population growth, a trend to smaller households (and so more homes needed relative to the population), and demand for homes not only from first home buyers but also from downsizers, overseas buyers, local investors, and self-managed super funds and trusts are all fuelling price rises.

While Australia’s current annual population growth of 1.4% may seem modest, this adds almost 340,000 to our population each year- which is one new Darwin every 20 weeks or a new Tasmania every 18 months.

Where population growth is strongest, house price rises are the highest

Sydney is growing much faster than this having averaged 1.8% per annum for the last five years. It will add almost two million to its population by 2037 – which is the equivalent of adding a new Perth into Sydney. Melbourne is currently Australia’s fastest growing city and based on the current growth trends, it will overtake Sydney to become the nation’s largest city around the middle of this century. Unsurprisingly where population growth is strongest, house price rises are the highest.

Earnings growth has not kept up with house price growth

In just twenty years, the average Sydney house price has increased more than five-fold from $233,250 in 1997 to $1,190,390 today while in Melbourne prices over the same period have increased by more than six times from $142,000 to $943,100 today. While it is true that wages have increased over this time, earnings growth has not kept up with house price growth. In 20 years, average annual full-time earnings have not quite doubled from $42,010 in 1997 to $82,784 today.

The impact of growing demand on house prices is most evident when comparing prices to average earnings. Twenty years ago, the average Sydney house was 5.6 times average annual earnings while in Melbourne it was an affordable 3.4 times annual earnings. Today Sydney homes are more than 14 times average earnings, and in Melbourne more than 11 times annual earnings. While the maxim that house prices double every 10 years is not always the case and growth fluctuates, since 1997 Sydney prices have in effect doubled every 8 years while Melbourne has managed this every 6 years.

If the growth metrics over the last two decades play out over the next two, the average home in both Sydney and Melbourne in 2037 will exceed $6 million. Clearly, the Australian dream of home ownership for the next generation is fading. Young people today need almost three times the purchasing power that their parents needed to buy the average place, so even double incomes will not quite do it. Additionally, today’s new households are starting their earnings years later than their parents, having spent longer in tertiary studies, and they begin their economic life not with zero savings like their parents, but well into the negative- with interest accumulating study debts to pay off. Even if today’s emerging generations start saving harder and earlier and live with their parents longer, home ownership is still not a given.

Policy settings around migration and baby bonuses have grown the population and policies around property tax incentives, self-managed superannuation and investment provisions have fuelled property demand therefore policy support will be required to bring the great Australian dream a little bit closer to reality.

Sources: Population at 2017 (ABS). 1997 prices: Macquarie University (Abelson). 2017 house prices: Core Logic. Analysis: McCrindle

Australian Census 2016; What you need to know

Monday, August 08, 2016

As demographers and social researchers there are a few calendar events that cause for celebration. Among them include population milestones, special data set releases and, of course, the Census. Rolling around only every 5 years, the Census provides us all with vital information about our nation’s population growth, infrastructure and future-planning needs.

In 2016 the Census will be held tomorrow, Tuesday 9th August. It has been conducted every 5 years since 1911, and is the biggest democratic activity in Australia. While July’s election counted 14 million votes, the 2016 Census will include every household, age group, resident and visitor – all 24 million of us.

So here’s everything you need to know about the upcoming 2016 Census.

2 IN 3 AUSSIES WILL COMPLETE THE CENSUS ONLINE

This will be the most unique Census Australia has ever seen. In keeping with these technological times, 2 in 3 people will complete their form online, up from just 1 in 3 in 2011 and 1 in 10 back in 2006 (the first time there was an electronic option).

SHOWCASING OUR POPULATION MILESTONES

Firstly, the Census will show that our national population is growing, having hit a new record in February of this year and surpassing a population of 24 million people. Additionally, it will also show that Australia’s largest city – Sydney, has broken through the 5 million milestone.

Not only will the Census show that our population is growing, but also that we are ageing. Our population profile will no longer be a “population pyramid”, because for the first time there will be more Australians aged over 55 than under 20.

So the Census will show that our population is growing, ageing and as a result, it will show that we are moving. For the first time this Census will reveal that one in four Australian households live in townhouses or apartments rather than detached houses – the highest figure ever, up from just one in ten in 1966.

IMPORTANT QUESTION CHANGES TO THIS YEAR’S CENSUS

This year there will be a change to the religion question with the option of “No religion” now appearing at the top of that question rather than at the bottom, so it might attract some more numbers.

Additionally the question asked of women: “How many babies has she ever given birth to” states “live births only”, but will now include stillbirths and give acknowledgement of that loss And the question: “Is the person male or female” - will allow an alternative blank box for those who identify with neither gender.

PARTICPATION IN THE CENSUS IS COMPULSORY

Like participating in the election, it is compulsory to complete the Census. But for everyone in the country, not just citizens or residents. The Census and Statistics Act takes sitting the Census very seriously, with fines for non-completion after receiving an order to complete incurring a fine of $180 per day, and false answers can attract a fine of $1800.

But the good news is that the Act takes privacy very seriously as well and answers cannot be divulged by the ABS to anyone – even government agencies. Confidentiality is assured.

CENSUS RESULTS NOT RELEASED UNTIL 2017

If we thought we had to wait a while for the election results, be prepared for a longer wait for the Census findings. It will be analysed at record speed, but that still means a wait of 8 months, April 2017, with the full results not coming out until 2018!

Wealth and Income Distribution State V State

Monday, July 25, 2016


Australia has long been considered the land of the middle class, but in recent years the gap has been widening between the rich and the poor. When it comes to the battle of the states, which corner of Australia scores the highest and the lowest on the income and wealth report? Will the Baby Boomer generation continue their stronghold on our national wealth?

Is Australia still the land of the middle class?

It is hanging in there, but it’s under pressure. We have seen some hollowing out in the middle of the earnings and a bit of spread to either end. The average annual household earnings are around $107,000 however the lowest fifth of households earn 20% of this while the top fifth average almost three times this. That means that the top fifth of households are taking home about 12 times what the bottom fifth of households are earning.

Most Aussies have their wealth tied up in their homes, how does ownership compare with the top, middle and lower classes?

The average wealth (if you liquidate everything and pay off all your debts, what are you left with) is about $800,000. The bottom 1 in 5 have a net worth of just $35,000, the top 20% of all household have a net worth of about $2,500,000. That means that the top fifth of households have about 62% of Australia’s wealth, and the bottom fifth take less than 1% of Australia’s national private wealth. So that's a big difference in wealth across these households.

Which states are best and worst performers when we are looking just at income?

The mining boom in WA has really done a great thing over there and so they are leading the earnings chart, with the ACT not too far behind with public servant wages doing pretty well. At the bottom of the tree you have Tasmania, earning about $50,000 less per annum, per household, than what we have in the west.

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare


Last 150 Articles


Tags

ageing long weekend CPI teacher infographics economy research pack domestic baby data analyst housing growth home group session non profit faux-cilising FOMO area organisations litter volunteers social issues not for profit charity fresh norwest house prices ethnography schools students wealth distribution financial dreams 2015 selfie school visualisation youth eliane paying to work CBD mccrindle VET cold high density apartments equip high density living sun capital cities moreton bay logan google Christchurch case study family trend tuesday 24,000,000 conference society trends Tuesday Trends Christmas lunch affordable researcher New South Wales sunny days Australians shopping local 2016 census results motivate Hills Shire Council food Aussies social trends social commentary easy rider future proofing parenting research services 1980 property price click JOMO Word Up aged care puzzle communicate woolworths prince george Australian Census home ownership REIV Conference housing market Geoff Brailey February 16 consumerism PSI goal trend proactive WA jobs car curiosity safe learner Wellington house mobile annual income cica not-for-profit dare to dream office opening debt royal influence professional speaker Wodonga marrickville survey world youth day high density survey design purpose teleworking HSC ultimo South Australia engage VIC Valentine’s Day the australian dream buildings know the times online community teachers trends analyst Royals cars vegemite engagement 10 years parents youth unemployment workshop Generation X facts in depth interviews SRE greatness culturally diverse intern royal family focus groups investing cultural diversity ACT New Zealand real research visualisation Gen X gen z 2020 mover and shaker insight staff australian social research customer brands financial fears office space demographic trends communication Australian Families townhouses investment global bus 2013 growing population shopping centre Australian Dream transport life statistics speakers Bathburst 1994 Netflix lifestyle Generation Y tv travelling award winner sports growth demographic transformations social commentator panel Australia Day 2017 Social Trend house price rise brisbane Australian Population brand earning social researchers megatrends etiquette demographer forum geomapping church increasing densification global generations hornsby TDE public speaker school students village royal Assistant Store Manager rain tuesday politics Territory mortgage Deaths balance property demographics English skills wealth and income house price Sydney Hills Business Chamber plans census salary spirituality sydney speaker australian communities forum future of work jobs of the future hills Myth eliane miles change the hills shire Northern beaches Event product consumer brand experience personal growth futurist huffington post conference presentation dessert generation Z environmental scanning public speaking census fail Christmas season cooking optus omnibus faux-cilise GPO financial future trades social change newspaper housing trends the average aussie #censusfail living sunburnt country mccrindle tea sector emerging generations professional presenters Real Estate australian communities trends report Research Director earnings culture REIV National Conference responsive business community engagement generation population milestone Northern Beaches Christian School education menai gender collaboration summer sydneysiders conference speaker typical australian Northern Territory tattoos ipswich global financial crisis Scouts research data impact generations the great screenage public holiday society princess charlotte January 26th grandparents collaborative technology NT finance emerging trends World Water Day employment IT Specialists Caregiver ease of travel mccrindle in the media Financial Planning Association income renter of the future social media average Australian shopper's pick spend list Australian Bureau of Statistics suburb nfp TEDx Andrew Duffin Canberra city conferences Mark McCrindle NEETs TED baby names australia report gen alpha marriages business index communities the hills divorce contiki social research social analysis focus group average aussie rich award vegetarian DIY post rationalism wage DESTEL Australian Trends work state sydney hills 40 million "know the times" potts point micro rise of local Research Executive ACF 2016 baby name trends results snapshot Skilling outsourcing winter blues blaxland twentyseventeen Hornsby Shire Council entrepreneurs of today census results deloitte Gen Y social life online shopping earn urban taskforce authenticity kate middleton social lives marriage baby names report screenage workforce education sector trends of 2017 affordability media activity The ABC of XYZ easter young people Real Estate Institute of Victoria mother's day SMSF System's Architect repayments Queensland mccrindle research goals speaker renting thrive Macquarie University quote generation alpha Christmas presents define teach digital university retirement environment community event resource small business report in the media NBRS Architecture future pyrmont winter sydneysider ABS young australians experience tips event wolloomooloo ashley fell future proof housing Queensland: QLD language cultural diveristy stay home publication thought leadership medicine water employers career Do It Yourself news keynote hills shire victoria Tuesday Trend meals pharmacy cartodb identity work-life new office showreel mythbusters office overcast organisational culture cancel plans wedding 2017 media commentary suburbs national private wealth new york times leader work mates land of the middle class clothing mining boom personalities business performance women cost wellbeing train EFF christianity trends of 2016 market research urban living friends pharmacies research report financial optimistic Australian Communities Trends sustainable royal baby millenials program relational Education Future Forum father's day cash internet christian offenders 1968 social school satisfaction google for education baby names ashley mckenzie entrepreneur changing face of sydney trends 2016 census Aussie unaffordable story faux-ciliser Channel Seven cost of living going out Tasmania ACF social shifts supply and demand storytelling presentation hobart internships 2014 1975 gold coast ideas population map priorities baby boomers stats learning professional development SMART challenge workplace ageing population 24 million sydneycity FPA training fears rule keeper Australia Day housing affordability millennials wealth states Love national crime rates Melbourne mateship weather resilience follow builders lalor park shbc residents year 12 students Wagga Wagga national wealth wealth and income distribution households social impact future of shopping cloudy days aussie culture networking rental stress qualitative research staying in leadership workshop breakfast the changing face of friendship participants Work place bondi celebration average sydneysider workplace culture tertiary education mythbusting research TAS grave decision government innovation Australian schools men schools NSW religion education future report high school leadership criminal unemployment hopes infographic wall weekly earnings careers names education future VET sector travel internship local community education research educated suburban living recap educhat holidays holiday millionth belief 23 million tableau children Kirsten Brewer Northern Beaches healthy future energy Res Vis relevant micro apartments entertainment Merry Christmas dreaming Australian communities Charlotte 2012 insights child care Engineering Manager marketing analysis waverton demography social enquiry perth professional narcissism budget speakers pack household forecasting shifts Australian Home Crime Rates poker master The Daily Edition generational trends urban living index McCrindle Speakers families media release Duchess of Cambridge Adelaide christmas socialites monarchy Financial Planning Association of Australia slideshare visual events rising house prices neutral bay census 2016 Births owning a home coffee low density baby boom australians staying home more learn Australian demographics 2016 year 7 faith future-proof sydney metro forecast sector wide study mentor middle class sector wide tea urban couple media rent commute daily telegraph Vocational education group economic alpha professional services student teaching sentiments daily commute baby name graphs optus my business awards happiness SA property market Sydney keynote speaker emerging technologies bureau socialising home owner presentations video hello fresh New Zeland study cancelling plans communications NBRS baby name predictions manly Kiwi anzac data infographic moderators guide population growth innovative Population Clock crows nest learning styles crime university degree divorce rate local communities entrepreneurial seasons data visualisation poor social researcher Sydney debate apartment Channel 7 ferry investor future of education TED talk capital city keynote speaker Australia street acf15 aged care Western Australia census data australia apartments population demographic Financial Planning Week world interactive toys financial independence James Ward commuters dream wages meetings darwin sydney event cancelling event

Archive