A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


live the dream trends HSC travel Tuesday Trends screenagers non profit meals youth generations quote vegetarian royal influence leader social change define typical australian stats sydney metro divorce rate commuters Netflix Sydney casual presentations teach Myth cultural diveristy micro 40 million monarchy children clothing financial future sunburnt country moreton bay meetings urban development supply and demand australian communities forum education sector housing christmas seasons greetings Tuesday Trend tattoos Merry Christmas perth pharmacies infographic wall marriages Charlotte research Do It Yourself TEDx Speaker winter HR innovative kate middleton wellbeing dare to dream Christmas day Channel Seven training youth unemployment Jura Coffee future proofing alpha cold resilience Northern beaches Event product university living new office Christmas Stats hobart social researchers environment balance NBRS Architecture engage property land of the middle class aged care video tuesday Australian Census mccrindle tea twentyseventeen home ownership learning styles suburbs Scouts Channel 7 ACF2017 statistics engagement rise of local Northern Territory school satisfaction daily commute sentiments earnings office opening investor norwest 10 years area Australia Day Australian Population census 2016 public holiday economic finance mccrindle in the media Canberra religion Research Director property price sydney hills neutral bay census results investing Jura Australia panel Business analysis easter CPI research pack average sydneysider language wealth and income distribution local communities faux-ciliser Christmas lunch Sydney population friendship generation Z brisbane professional speaker forecasting leadership workshop gender work mates online shopping eliane father's day young australians Res Vis school students Work place poker master keynote speaker Caregiver research visualisation rent ashley fell baby boomers Christmas data cost workshop The Daily Edition sustainable winter blues 23 million ashley mckenzie research services keynote Word Up challenge Macquarie University ease of travel resource coffee 1980 demographer McCrindle Keynote Speakers speakers social trends toys conference acf15 cancelling plans cancel plans paying to work Generation X marriage millenials Australian schools village mythbusters sunny days trades average aussie public speaker weather wages Australian Bureau of Statistics business performance world youth day "know the times" volunteering socialites money demographic Christmas day weather social media relational Adelaide lalor park state charity capital city real retirement JOMO Australian Trends jobs ACF 2016 australian local community Hunter Valley Real Estate Institute of Victoria NSW newspaper award winner ACF17 FPA aussie culture environmental scanning victoria What is food insecurity? sydney market do people still change their surname after marriage? bureau rich Population Clock in the media DESTEL consumerism TEDx christian technology collaborative Kirsten Brewer commuting media commentary moderators guide staff employmer survey design demographics offenders Australia street divorce world families apartments follow energy showreel global baby names recap Territory workplace culture socialising SMSF not for profit financial leadersip ageing population SA baby name trends conference speaker Black Friday Sales internet population milestone sydneysiders households World Water Day 2012 2017 wedding Australian demographics story ethnography vegemite 2013 personalities professional presenters digital fresh demographic transformations Australians holiday office royal family speakers pack medicine mentor bondi daily telegraph South Australia Australia Day 2017 breakfast tertiary education focus group careers urban living index financial planning greatness Sydney keynote speaker renter of the future 2020 trend tuesday collaboration the hills shire snapshot the changing face of EFF royal baby bus wealth educhat travelling belief speajer hunger data earn sydney property market Financial Planning Association Aussies learner menai volunteers Royals Assistant Store Manager men students NT outsourcing Performance Sentiment Index identity storytelling national crime rates February 16 marketing Australian communities Queensland: QLD events authenticity house price the hills System's Architect thought leadership Western Australia wolloomooloo Northern Beaches 1968 workplace faux-cilise Christchurch blaxland tea younger generations affordability customer future-proof cica mccrindle research internship city Social Trend Hills Shire Council GPO career equip Duchess of Cambridge social analysis growth of sydney student faux-cilising Hornsby Shire Council donate stay home teleworking church NBRS census optus Christmas presents Black Friday 24,000,000 politics shifts society social impact woolworths the great screenage ultimo high density plans dreams workforce REIV Conference 1975 shopper's pick who is generation z cooking Wodonga wealth and income New Zeland friends case study REIV National Conference sports SMART low density child care online social Wellington census data urban gold coast learning Christmas season society trends culture know the times Real Estate skills office space poor report emerging technologies relevant annual income national wealth weekly earnings celebration australian communities trends report Cobbitty-Leppington unemployment program food bank narcissism Sydney Lifestyle Study repayments grandparents young people financial independence mining boom experience crime demographic trends debt household teacher Education Future Forum social life Sydney’s south west year 12 earning study education research communities qualitative research Skilling dreaming VET logan gen z omnibus work from home forecast data analyst impact ideas food insecurity high density living list tips award mythbusting prince george cartodb media activity Births future of work Crime Rates WA names presentation not-for-profit sydney speaker hopes faith proactive train Elderslie-Harrington park pyrmont schools students ageing hello fresh Deaths average Australian choice workers Valentine’s Day sydneysider speaker networking culturally diverse parenting McCrindle Speaker tv anzac high school brand event baby names report in depth interviews DIY 1994 geomapping cars eliane miles housing affordability sector wide study baby boom community Australian community trends learn mccrinlde hornsby crows nest Gen X happiness entrepreneur couple australia population growth social lives sun australian community trends report government home NFP event visual thrive business index apartment wealth distribution Tasmania car baby name predictions safe media TDE New Zealand litter social commentator suburb changing face of sydney goals aged care puzzle population TED post rationalism baby name summer media release school communication giving TAS rule keeper trends analyst google global financial crisis Financial Planning Week home owner Andrew Duffin market research group session budget life financial fears gig economy housing growth 2016 census results work generation alpha Geoff Brailey PSI generation trend professional development easy rider click infographics hills shire organisations brand experience future mobile family volunteer millennials focus groups economy unaffordable professional innovation small business intern sector domestic internships New South Wales purpose the average aussie Gen Y shopping business increasing densification royal care support buildings waverton sector wide cloudy days future proof January 26th Financial Planning Association of Australia christmas 2017 affordable mccrindle mother's day Mark McCrindle work-life McCrindle Speakers food urban taskforce survey ferry US social researcher deloitte CBD IT Specialists property market group capital cities princess charlotte curiosity employment ACF rising house prices conference presentation employers local Melbourne researcher coffee lovers leadership Bathburst social research results research on coffee Vocational education middle class brands transport insights long weekend house 24 million education futurist community event maiden names gen alpha entrepreneurs of today marrickville chairty water overcast commute baby names australia report staying in VIC fears not for profit research data visualisation TED talk suburban living social enquiry future of shopping #censusfail holidays seasons ACT Report global generations community engagement priorities financial dreams year 7 trends of 2016 mortgage Aussie research report Mark McCrindle in the media income healthy future cash christianity Engineering Manager Australian Communities Trends mateship Maxim Accounting the australian dream Australian Families millionth educated conferences infographic manly house prices Wagga Wagga visualisation responsive facts graphs SRE gig slideshare australian real estate ACT lifestyle selfie sydneycity wealth inequality australian social research Christmas research Australian Dream news grave decision consumer teaching new york times townhouses google for education donation darwin demography emerging generations megatrends states rain social issues English cancelling event national private wealth teachers renting 2015 christmas trees mover and shaker 2016 census the lucky country education future builders etiquette entrepreneurial nativity scene charities contiki urban living wage rental stress huffington post hills NEETs parents employmee spend Gen Z Expert emerging trends Queensland volunteering data James Ward professional services digital economy residents Retail housing trends housing market salary Research Executive cultural diversity Lower Hunter 2016 publication jobs of the future FOMO ABS debate Willowdale motivate public speaking research data social analyst communicate Love global retail Northern Beaches Christian School women personal growth social commentary social shifts dream organisational culture sydney event 2014 Mount Annan-Currant Hill optus my business awards surnames cost of living maiden Generation Y growth property development australians staying home more growing population analysis happy holidays trends of 2017 forum high density apartments insight surname education future report VET sector potts point tableau public transport dessert The ABC of XYZ screenage generational trends pharmacy Black Friday in Australia goal communications interactive Lower Hunter Region spirituality change Kiwi shopping centre McCridle going out census fail population map schools criminal shbc Australian Home Sydney Hills Business Chamber baby future of education entertainment investment optimistic Christmas in Australia nfp owning a home ipswich university degree micro apartments house price rise participants