A new population milestone

Friday, February 05, 2016

A new population milestone

Australia is fast closing in on the next population milestone of 24 million. In the early minutes of Tuesday 16 February 2016, at 12:51am, Australia will officially hit a population of 24,000,000. Because not everyone will be glued to the ABS Population clock (link) like us, we thought we’d give you an advanced peak at what it will show (we’re futurists after all!).

Doubling Australia’s population- in pace with the world

In 1968, Australia’s population reached 12 million and so it has taken 48 years to double. Interestingly, in 1970, the global population was exactly half what it currently is at 7.3 billion and so the world has taken only slightly less time, 46 years, to double.

More than one third of Australians have seen both Australia, and the world double in population size in their lifetime!

A new million- in record time

Australia reached 23 million on 23 April 2013 which means it has added its 24th million in 2 years, 9 months and 2 days. This is the first time that a million people has been added to Australia’s population in less than 3 years. From 1954 when the population hit 9 million, until 2003 when the population hit 20 million, each addition million was added in a time span of around 4 and a half years. From 20 to 23 million, the time span had decreased to add each million every 3 and a half years (keeping in mind the readjustment in the timing of Australia reaching 22 million which was altered due to population adjustments based on the results of the 2011 Census).

And 17 years ahead of schedule

When Australia’s population reached 19 million on 18 August 1999, the factors of population increase were such that the forecast was for the national population to reach 24 million in 2033. However rather than each new million being added every 7 to 9 years as was forecast based on the trends at the time, Australia is adding an extra million every 3 years (increasing from 21 million to 24 million in 8 years and 8 months).

Baby boom, longevity boom and migration growth

Not only has the fertility rate over the last decade been much higher than predicted (and the consequential record baby boom averaging 300,000 births per year), but the increase in life expectancy was also beyond these predictions. And while net migration numbers have been slowing over the last couple of years, growth from migration was, and still is above the forecasts of the late 20th Century.

40 million by 2050

As recently as 2009 the forecast was for the population to reach 36 million by 2050. However, even based on the more modest population growth rate of 1.5% (well below the highs of 1.9% achieved in recent years), Australia’s population will reach 40 million by mid-century, with the possibility of it being beyond 43 million (based on 1.7% annual growth).

24 million of 7.3 billion

While Australia’s population growth is significant in national terms, our new milestone of 24 million is small compared to the US population of 323 million. And in a global context, Australia’s share of the world’s population is just 0.32% - less than one-third of 1%!

Happy 24 millionth Australia!

Welcome to our blog...

We have a passion for research that tells a story, that can be presented visually, that brings about change and improves organisations. And we hope these resources help you know the times.

Our Social Media Sites

Facebook | McCrindle Research Social Media YouTube | McCrindle Research Social Media Twitter | McCrindle Research Social Media Flickr | McCrindle Research Social Media Pinterest | McCrindle Research Social Media Google Plus | McCrindle Research Social Media LinkedIn | McCrindle Research Social Media Mark McCrindle Slideshare

Last 150 Articles


conference speaker entrepreneur pyrmont census organisations baby name leadership workshop non profit Merry Christmas event speakers pack eliane miles potts point easy rider cold housing trends low density income young people tips ageing population suburbs staying in wedding trends PSI technology sunburnt country princess charlotte women society marriage organisational culture house aussie culture trends of 2017 train JOMO generation alpha NT moderators guide Australia street townhouses Caregiver teachers christianity qualitative research Wagga Wagga CPI dream gig economy experience TED generation woolworths intern selfie prince george facts education sector ABS affordable volunteers real Social Trend daily telegraph consumerism car survey shopping centre spend Territory divorce rate forecasting long weekend The ABC of XYZ house prices year 12 parenting not for profit home owner increasing densification mother's day transport local house price mythbusting work-life paying to work couple ipswich Aussies demographic transformations 10 years presentations teleworking sector wide study HSC life 24 million brands the hills Christmas lunch church tattoos litter ageing learning Kiwi unaffordable high density living impact chairty ultimo sydney event demography TDE sun plans Engineering Manager social research australian communities trends report insight conference presentation grave decision business performance jobs omnibus owning a home donate office bureau SRE middle class changing face of sydney innovative wealth and income emerging generations eliane Financial Planning Week capital city authenticity Australia Day waverton university degree 2015 gen alpha research data royal VIC Melbourne dreaming tv Aussie Gen X tableau REIV Conference demographics Northern beaches Event huffington post Valentine’s Day safe careers Hornsby Shire Council thrive brand experience living consumer urban forum 2017 proactive schools renter of the future SMART faux-cilise household future of shopping personal growth define volunteering data educated census fail cash crime baby names mccrindle in the media hills 2014 neutral bay rent sydney speaker economy domestic affordability new office urban living index Sydney keynote speaker gold coast typical australian average aussie New Zeland supply and demand TED talk futurist optus my business awards builders customer Tuesday Trend shopper's pick crows nest water conference 1968 data village FPA McCrindle Speakers seasons home school satisfaction cultural diversity trends analyst baby name predictions millionth blaxland report mover and shaker capital cities donation program deloitte Australian Home snapshot purpose royal influence optus ACF 2016 population map australians staying home more media activity tertiary education baby names report New Zealand social entrepreneurial housing growth trend tuesday the australian dream tea hobart Kirsten Brewer ACT Report Netflix ACF global wages newspaper Australian Trends learning styles follow baby boomers "know the times" Real Estate national private wealth educhat wealth financial independence Macquarie University ferry 2016 royal baby baby learner researcher dessert SA ACF17 marketing curiosity change social media education research study meals graphs families moreton bay marrickville pharmacies clothing workshop hornsby collaborative social change land of the middle class faux-ciliser Canberra sydneysiders Australians population growth nfp storytelling narcissism retirement census 2016 social issues mortgage faith schools students ease of travel results professional speaker generations group session NBRS rich friends public speaker Population Clock focus group office opening census data menai ashley mckenzie australian social research Duchess of Cambridge young australians geomapping christian skills norwest charities English priorities Sydney Hills Business Chamber recap global financial crisis society trends debt motivate visual wolloomooloo research visualisation friendship balance trends of 2016 local communities New South Wales local community public holiday child care optimistic national crime rates social researchers leadership collaboration hills shire 2013 Christmas presents SMSF interactive socialites System's Architect news alpha Wellington gender internship aged care Tuesday Trends financial travelling shbc toys meetings weekly earnings World Water Day sunny days royal family resource anzac wage entrepreneurs of today belief emerging trends financial fears wellbeing mccrindle GPO perth NBRS Architecture business Australian Families wealth distribution media commentary in depth interviews in the media investing children poor mining boom names states Charlotte Assistant Store Manager earn showreel WA easter lalor park Geoff Brailey finance vegemite workforce housing affordability sentiments commute logan men Western Australia thought leadership ethnography state community event university Australian Dream year 7 research report events Australian community trends cica religion annual income Sydney social researcher debate urban living 2016 census results poker master cancelling plans Wodonga NEETs choice workers micro apartments Hills Shire Council infographic wall group Financial Planning Association of Australia politics sydneycity etiquette CBD relevant data analyst dreams research services charity personalities 1994 new york times the average aussie ideas research the great screenage statistics workplace culture Financial Planning Association Research Executive future proof 2016 census professional presenters infographic Adelaide James Ward high school happiness DESTEL TAS Skilling christmas IT Specialists innovation rise of local ACT australian real estate 1980 award winner greatness summer goal twentyseventeen stats tuesday Channel Seven future of education Northern Beaches weather students social enquiry future-proof communications aged care puzzle data visualisation career mythbusters office space TEDx demographic generational trends national wealth grandparents workplace property Generation Y apartments city offenders social trends medicine giving divorce shopping product VET sector rule keeper economic infographics gen z not for profit research cost insights Births award 40 million parents hello fresh professional services global generations Australia Day 2017 school students goals social life mccrindle tea energy internships equip teacher Love property price trend language school area world youth day property market census results The Daily Edition video know the times criminal Word Up networking employers suburb travel Vocational education work quote coffee sector monarchy ashley fell Res Vis market research Queensland research pack holidays training social shifts employment australia households presentation australian apartment commuters keynote speaker engage case study professional renting relational post rationalism internet sector wide focus groups fears gig high density demographer not-for-profit mobile repayments sydney metro future proofing social impact celebration sustainable culture millennials live the dream winter mccrindle research salary brand going out communities urban taskforce challenge communicate rental stress baby names australia report responsive forecast rain identity speakers pharmacy story social commentary Christmas season Australian Bureau of Statistics media spirituality future speaker conferences leader bondi population milestone residents Gen Y analysis 1975 buildings digital micro high density apartments megatrends world unemployment South Australia acf15 the hills shire resilience Education Future Forum financial future cost of living lifestyle daily commute growth healthy future work mates australian communities forum small business engagement slideshare victoria sydney hills learn business index marriages NFP event REIV National Conference suburban living millenials cloudy days darwin faux-cilising Mark McCrindle 24,000,000 financial planning youth unemployment kate middleton NSW January 26th FOMO Queensland: QLD education future report volunteer Bathburst professional development Northern Territory Scouts rising house prices communication emerging technologies winter blues the changing face of education vegetarian social commentator sports population cooking family dare to dream generation Z fresh visualisation breakfast 23 million socialising Australian Population bus sydneysider investor brisbane EFF Channel 7 cars wealth inequality culturally diverse ACF2017 housing outsourcing earnings mentor cartodb australian community trends report housing market manly wealth and income distribution Generation X Australian communities overcast average Australian 2020 Northern Beaches Christian School jobs of the future home ownership community Research Director mateship earning food social analysis Real Estate Institute of Victoria participants Royals 2012 care support cultural diveristy future of work keynote demographic trends shifts environment entertainment google for education Australian schools click student stay home Australian Communities Trends publication holiday house price rise google Christchurch Deaths average sydneysider government Australian Census VET cancel plans Tasmania DIY youth staff budget trades environmental scanning Andrew Duffin baby boom financial dreams February 16 contiki teach hopes teaching volunteering social lives online panel screenage investment cancelling event list community engagement Work place public speaking education future Crime Rates media release casual Myth Australian demographics money father's day online shopping #censusfail survey design growing population baby name trends Do It Yourself